Match Info

Date: 12 March 2022, Saturday


	Babelsberg		Auerbach

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.4	6.75
	1.42	4.4	6
	1.42	4.5	6.2
	1.42	4.62	6.91
	1.41	4.85	6.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.6)	4.55 ↑ (4.14)	6.56 ↑ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Babelsberg
65.6%

Draw
20.3%

Auerbach
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

22.7%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

14.3%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Babelsberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Babelsberg's performance.

Auerbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Babelsberg than the current prediction. (-28.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Babelsberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auerbach than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Auerbach could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Babelsberg - Auerbach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Babelsberg won 0.

Babelsberg is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Auerbach is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Babelsberg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Auerbach have a series of home games.

In this match Babelsberg is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Babelsberg won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 26-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Babelsberg won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Babelsberg 03
German Regionalliga Nordost
09.03.22	Berliner FC Dynamo - Babelsberg	1:0 ✺
04.03.22	Carl Zeiss Jena - Babelsberg	1:0 ✺
25.02.22	Babelsberg - Optik Rathenow	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Babelsberg - Luckenwalde	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Chemie Leipzig - Babelsberg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTWL
- VfB Auerbach
German Regionalliga Nordost
09.03.22	Auerbach - Altglienicke	2:2 ✺
04.03.22	Auerbach - Tasmania Berlin	9:1 ✺
26.02.22	Meuselwitz - Auerbach	1:0 ✺
19.02.22	Auerbach - Germania Halberstadt	2:5 ✺
16.02.22	Auerbach - Union Fürstenwalde	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
13.10.21	Auerbach - Babelsberg	2:3
28.10.20	Babelsberg - Auerbach	3:0
02.11.19	Auerbach - Babelsberg	2:0
18.05.19	Auerbach - Babelsberg	1:0
24.11.18	Babelsberg - Auerbach	5:0
17.04.18	Babelsberg - Auerbach	0:2
28.10.17	Auerbach - Babelsberg	2:2

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