Match Info

I Lyga - Round 8

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday

Location: Plungės dirbtinės dangos stadionas - Artificial grass (Plunge)


	Babrungas Plungė		Nevėžis

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	2.7
	2.02	3.5	3.15	Watch
	2.04	3.4	3.21
	2.06	3.52	3.14	Watch
	2.02	3.38	3.24
	2.02	3.5	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.23)	3.43 ↓ (3.46)	3.1 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Babrungas Plungė
44.2%

Draw
26.5%

Nevėžis
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

26.4%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

25.1%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Babrungas Plungė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Nevėžis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Babrungas Plungė than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nevėžis than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Babrungas Plungė - Nevėžis Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Nevėžis (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Babrungas Plungė will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Babrungas (votes: 4 - 80%). Nevėžis (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Kublickas D. (G) 2. Abbey-Ashie S. 55. Agyemang E. 14. Budrys T. (C) 17. Butkus V. 22. Cepkauskas L. 5. Latakas A. 8. Mantinis K. 19. Sanchez G. 11. Skirmantas M. 18. Tabata S.	1. Urbonas E. (G) 13. Berednikovas L. 8. Mikuckis R. 2. Mockus E. 11. Mohil Y. 30. Monkelis M. 99. Rukuiza K. (C) 10. Toklikishvili N. 20. Traore M. 18. Tymoshenko I. 35. Zuperka R. A.
Substitutes
6. Ajayi S. B. 33. Baguzas E. 3. Barusas A. 4. Butkus D. 24. Slekonis J. 9. Tomemori S. 77. Ukrinas T.	7. Ferraz V. 34. Granauskas R. (G) 23. Havryliuk N. 22. Lukosevicius A. 3. Martinkus N. 14. Mezinis G. 91. Petkevicius M. 17. Skibiniauskas V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 2)
54', 1 - 0, Skirmantas M. ⚽,
54', 🟥,
58', Berednikovas L. 🟨,
60', Toklikishvili N. ↓, Lukosevicius A. ↑,
61', Zuperka R. A. 🟨,
62', Sanchez G. 🟨,
63', Sanchez G. ↓, Baguzas E. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Agyemang E. ⚽,
71', 2 - 1, Mohil Y. ⚽,
73', Mantinis K. ↓, Ukrinas T. ↑,
77', Tabata S. ↓, Ajayi S. B. ↑,
85', Agyemang E. 🟨,
87', 2 - 2, Zuperka R. A. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 2, Latakas A. ⚽,
90+3', Butkus V. ↓, Barusas A. ↑,
90+3', Skirmantas M. ↓, Tomemori S. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Babrungas won 0.

Babrungas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nevėžis's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nevėžis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Babrungas won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Babrungas won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Babrungas Plungė
Lithuanian Division 2
03.05.25	Tauras Tauragė - Babrungas Plungė	0:0 ✺
25.04.25	Babrungas Plungė - Neptūnas	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	Jonava - Babrungas Plungė	1:2 ✺
04.04.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Babrungas Plungė	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Babrungas Plungė - Transinvest	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TTWWL
- FK Nevėžis
Lithuanian Division 2
02.05.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Nevėžis	1:3 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
29.04.25	Nevėžis - Minija Kretinga	1:3 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
26.04.25	Transinvest - Nevėžis	3:1 ✺
18.04.25	Nevėžis - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:4 ✺
05.04.25	Minija Kretinga - Nevėžis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
04.10.24	Nevėžis - Babrungas Plungė	3:2
17.05.24	Babrungas Plungė - Nevėžis	1:1
29.09.23	Babrungas Plungė - Nevėžis	1:2
12.05.23	Nevėžis - Babrungas Plungė	1:1
09.09.22	Nevėžis - Babrungas Plungė	2:1
13.05.22	Babrungas Plungė - Nevėžis	1:1

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