Match Info

I Lyga - Round 19

Date: 8 August 2025, Friday

Location: Kedainiai Stadium (Kedainiai)


	Nevėžis		Minija Kretinga

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.8	2.35
	2.52	3.7	2.25	Watch
	2.72	3.65	2.27
	2.90	3.68	2.13	Watch
	2.41	3.74	2.34
	2.22	3.79	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.22)	3.73 ↓ (3.79)	2.27 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nevėžis
36%

Draw
24.3%

Minija Kretinga
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

23%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

21.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nevėžis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Minija Kretinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nevėžis than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nevėžis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minija Kretinga than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Nevėžis - Minija Kretinga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Urbonas E. (G) 23. Havryliuk N. 22. Lukosevicius A. (C) 30. Monkelis M. 99. Rukuiza K. 32. Shaibu V. 17. Skibiniauskas V. 4. Soroka R. 20. Traore M. 18. Tymoshenko I. 35. Zuperka R. A.	1. Tek D. A. (G) 12. Baya T. 43. Diawara B. 15. Diawara M. 17. Ellah C. 26. Genutis N. 23. Jankauskas J. 7. Kasparavicius J. (C) 5. Kirjanov E. 37. Takei R. 9. Velyvis M.
Substitutes
28. Lozano J. 12. Manasyan R. (G) 3. Martinkus N. 14. Mezinis G. 8. Mikuckis R. 2. Mockus E. 11. Mohil Y. 91. Petkevicius M. 47. Veldman M.	10. Bamba S. 20. Galita A. 25. Gunji K. 19. Keblys M. 4. Martinkus A. 22. Pipiras A. (G) 8. Pipiras D. 11. Putvinas A. 6. Sidibe M. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Traore M. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Ellah C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 1 - 2, Monkelis M. (Own goal),
56', Havryliuk N. ↓, Mohil Y. ↑,
57', 🟨,
64', 🟨,
75', 🟥,
75', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
86', 1 - 3, Kasparavicius J. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nevėžis won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Nevėžis won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Nevėžis won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 2.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Nevėžis
Lithuanian Division 2
02.08.25	FA Šiauliai B - Nevėžis	3:1 ✺
25.07.25	Nevėžis - Panevėžys 2	0:1 ✺
21.07.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Nevėžis	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Nevėžis	2:2 ✺
21.06.25	Nevėžis - BFA Vilnius	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLTW
- Minija Kretinga
Lithuanian Division 2
02.08.25	Minija Kretinga - Tauras Tauragė	1:2 ✺
27.07.25	Neptūnas - Minija Kretinga	0:1 ✺
22.07.25	Minija Kretinga - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
27.06.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Minija Kretinga	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	Transinvest - Minija Kretinga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Cup
29.04.25	Nevėžis - Minija Kretinga	1:3
Lithuanian Division 2
05.04.25	Minija Kretinga - Nevėžis	2:1
28.09.24	Minija Kretinga - Nevėžis	0:0
11.05.24	Nevėžis - Minija Kretinga	1:1
04.08.23	Nevėžis - Minija Kretinga	2:1
18.03.23	Minija Kretinga - Nevėžis	1:2
20.08.22	Minija Kretinga - Nevėžis	0:1

Nevėžis - Minija Kretinga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide