Match Info

AUSTRIA: REGIONALLIGA CENTRAL - ROUND 22

Date: 18 April 2023, Tuesday


	Bad Gleichenberg		Treibach

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.8	6.25
	1.36	4.62	6.16
	1.36	4.75	5.8
	1.33	5.2	7.1
	1.34	5	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.56)	4.87 ↑ (4.23)	6.34 ↑ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bad Gleichenberg
67.2%

Draw
18.6%

Treibach
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

21.3%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

19%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bad Gleichenberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bad Gleichenberg's performance.

Treibach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Treibach might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bad Gleichenberg than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bad Gleichenberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treibach than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Treibach could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bad Gleichenberg - Treibach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 and 13).

Recent matches Bad Gleichenberg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Treibach is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Bad Gleichenberg is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bad Gleichenberg won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Bad Gleichenberg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TuS Bad Gleichenberg
Austrian Regionalliga Central
07.04.23	Allerheiligen - Bad Gleichenberg	3:2 ✺
31.03.23	Bad Gleichenberg - Union Gurten	5:0 ✺
24.03.23	Leoben - Bad Gleichenberg	3:1 ✺
17.03.23	Bad Gleichenberg - Kalsdorf	4:1 ✺
10.03.23	Bad Gleichenberg - SPG Wels	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWL
- SK Treibach
Austrian Regionalliga Central
06.04.23	Treibach - SPG Wels	1:2 ✺
31.03.23	Gleisdorf - Treibach	1:1 ✺
24.03.23	Treibach - LASK II	3:5 ✺
18.03.23	Wolfsberger AC II - Treibach	1:1 ✺
10.03.23	Treibach - SC Weiz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga Central
02.09.22	Treibach - Bad Gleichenberg	1:4
11.03.22	Bad Gleichenberg - Treibach	1:1
30.07.21	Treibach - Bad Gleichenberg	0:1

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