Match Info

AUSTRIA: Regionalliga Central - Round 28

Date: 24 May 2024, Friday


	Bad Gleichenberg		SPG Wels

	1	X	2
	3.8	4	1.65
	4	4	1.66
	3.59	4.64	1.69
	4.33	4	1.57
	4.14	4.1	1.64
	3.7	4.1	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↓ (4.42)	4.14 ↑ (4)	1.65 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bad Gleichenberg
23.1%

Draw
21.9%

SPG Wels
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

22.6%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

21.9%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bad Gleichenberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

SPG Wels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bad Gleichenberg than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Bad Gleichenberg - SPG Wels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
10', 1 - 0, Wendler P. ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, Schleich S. ⚽,
19', 2 - 1, Mayr A. ⚽,
23', 3 - 1, Wendler P. ⚽,
44', 3 - 2, Akrap V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', 3 - 3, Mislov R. ⚽,
68', 4 - 3, Perger J. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bad Gleichenberg won 1.

Recent matches Bad Gleichenberg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

SPG Wels is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

SPG Wels could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bad Gleichenberg have a series of home games.

In this match SPG Wels is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Bad Gleichenberg won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Bad Gleichenberg won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TuS Bad Gleichenberg
Austrian Regionalliga Central
17.05.24	Bad Gleichenberg - Union Gurten	3:0 ✺
11.05.24	Bad Gleichenberg - Weindorf St. Anna am Aigen	1:2 ✺
03.05.24	Deutschlandsberger - Bad Gleichenberg	5:1 ✺
26.04.24	Bad Gleichenberg - Allerheiligen	4:3 ✺
12.04.24	Bad Gleichenberg - ASK Klagenfurt	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLLWW
- SPG Wels
Austrian Regionalliga Central
17.05.24	SPG Wels - Gleisdorf	0:0 ✺
08.05.24	Wallern-Marienkirchen - SPG Wels	1:2 ✺
26.04.24	SC Weiz - SPG Wels	1:3 ✺
19.04.24	SPG Wels - Ried II	5:0 ✺
12.04.24	SPG Wels - Union Gurten	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga Central
20.10.23	SPG Wels - Bad Gleichenberg	2:2
10.03.23	Bad Gleichenberg - SPG Wels	1:2
29.07.22	SPG Wels - Bad Gleichenberg	4:1
25.03.22	SPG Wels - Bad Gleichenberg	1:2
10.08.21	Bad Gleichenberg - SPG Wels	1:1
13.09.19	SPG Wels - Bad Gleichenberg	1:0
18.05.19	SPG Wels - Bad Gleichenberg	1:2

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