Match Info

Date: 30 November 2021, Tuesday


	Badajoz		Alcoyano

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.2
	2.2	3	3	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.15
	2.23	3	3.15
	2.16	2.85	3.36
	2.35	3	3.2
	2.26	3.22	3.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.47)	3.06 ↑ (2.9)	3.19 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badajoz
41.1%

Draw
30.1%

Alcoyano
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

31.5%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

21.8%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Alcoyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Badajoz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcoyano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Badajoz - Alcoyano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Badajoz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcoyano is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Badajoz will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Badajoz
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.11.21	Badajoz - SD Logroñés	2:2 ✺
20.11.21	Unionistas de Salamanca - Badajoz	2:2 ✺
14.11.21	Badajoz - UD Logroñés	1:2 ✺
05.11.21	Zamora - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
30.10.21	Badajoz - Extremadura UD	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTLTW
- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.11.21	Alcoyano - Cornellà	2:0 ✺
20.11.21	FC Andorra - Alcoyano	1:2 ✺
13.11.21	Alcoyano - Atlético Baleares	0:0 ✺
07.11.21	Villarreal B - Alcoyano	0:1 ✺
31.10.21	Alcoyano - Algeciras	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WWTWT

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