Match Info

Date: 14 November 2021, Sunday


	Badajoz		UD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.87	3.75
	2.25	2.87	3.1
	2.25	2.85	3.2
	2.1	2.9	3.5
	2.16	2.92	3.68
	2.16	3.05	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.56)	2.91 ↑ (2.81)	3.45 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badajoz
42.2%

Draw
31.3%

UD Logroñés
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

32.1%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

23.4%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Badajoz's performance.

UD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UD Logroñés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Badajoz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD Logroñés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Badajoz - UD Logroñés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 7 and 6).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Badajoz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Badajoz will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Badajoz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Badajoz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Badajoz
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.11.21	Zamora - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
30.10.21	Badajoz - Extremadura UD	2:0 ✺
24.10.21	San Sebastian Reyes - Badajoz	0:0 ✺
17.10.21	Badajoz - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
10.10.21	Ferrol - Badajoz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWTLW
- UD Logroñés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.11.21	UD Logroñés - Deportivo A Coruña	0:1 ✺
31.10.21	Celta de Vigo B - UD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
23.10.21	UD Logroñés - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
17.10.21	DUX Internacional de Madrid - UD Logroñés	2:2 ✺
10.10.21	UD Logroñés - SD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda Division B Losers Play Offs
02.06.19	UD Logroñés - Badajoz	3:3
25.05.19	Badajoz - UD Logroñés	0:1

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