Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Badalona (Badalona)


	Badalona		Compostela

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.80	2.40
	2.62	2.92	2.58
	2.57	3.15	2.69
	2.51	3.2	2.66	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.63
	2.49	3.02	2.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.74)	3 ↑ (2.88)	2.6 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badalona
35%

Draw
30.2%

Compostela
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

31.2%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

31.9%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badalona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Compostela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badalona than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Badalona - Compostela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
70', 1 - 0, Bermudez S. ⚽,
90', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 0-3.

In recent matches, Badalona has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Compostela is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Badalona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Badalona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
14.06.26	Compostela - Badalona	3:0 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
07.06.26	Badalona - Cornellà	3:0 AET ✺
31.05.26	Cornellà - Badalona	4:1 ✺
24.05.26	Badalona - LHospitalet	1:3 ET ✺
17.05.26	LHospitalet - Badalona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLLW
- SD Compostela
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
14.06.26	Compostela - Badalona	3:0 ✺
07.06.26	Compostela - Atlético Arteixo	2:1 ET ✺
31.05.26	Atlético Arteixo - Compostela	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	Compostela - RC Villalbes	6:1 ✺
16.05.26	RC Villalbes - Compostela	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
14.06.26	Compostela - Badalona	3:0

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