Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 13

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Badalona		Grama

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	3.75
	1.76	3.3	4.59
	1.99	3.08	3.94	Watch
	1.73	3.25	4.65
	1.76	3.45	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.76)	3.27 ↓ (3.45)	4.23 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badalona
50.3%

Draw
28%

Grama
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

26.4%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

25.8%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badalona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

The chances for Grama have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badalona than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grama than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Badalona - Grama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
27', 0 - 1, Padillo A. ⚽,
44', 0 - 2, Alonso M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
66', 1 - 2, ⚽,
71', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Badalona won 1.

Badalona is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Grama has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Badalona is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Badalona won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.4:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Badalona won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Badalona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
23.11.25	Tona - Badalona	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Badalona - Lleida	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Vilanova - Badalona	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Badalona - LEscala	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Vilassar de Mar - Badalona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLWW
- FE Grama
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
23.11.25	Grama - Montañesa	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Grama	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Grama - Peralada	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Vic - Grama	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Grama - LHospitalet	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
13.04.25	Badalona - Grama	2:2
01.12.24	Grama - Badalona	4:1
05.05.24	Grama - Badalona	2:2
14.01.24	Badalona - Grama	2:1
16.04.23	Badalona - Grama	2:2
11.12.22	Grama - Badalona	1:0
Club Friendly
21.08.21	Grama - Badalona	1:1

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