Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 10

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Vilanova		Badalona

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.2	1.85
	4.46	3.27	1.8
	17.00	5.67	1.18	Watch
	4.01	3.18	1.86
	3.4	3.2	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.55 ↑ (3.38)	3.7 ↑ (3.17)	1.74 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilanova
15.3%

Draw
27.1%

Badalona
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

28.6%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

28.7%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilanova's form might have worsened.

Badalona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Badalona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilanova than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilanova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badalona than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Badalona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vilanova - Badalona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
66', 1 - 1, Thior Z. ⚽,
85', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent performances by Vilanova have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Badalona is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Badalona could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Vilanova
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
02.11.25	Montañesa - Vilanova	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Vilanova - Cerdanyola del Vallès	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Peralada - Vilanova	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Vilanova - Vic	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	LHospitalet - Vilanova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TWLTW
- CF Badalona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
02.11.25	Badalona - LEscala	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Vilassar de Mar - Badalona	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Badalona - Mollerussa	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	San Cristóbal - Badalona	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Badalona - Cornellà	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWTWW

Vilanova - Badalona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide