Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 19

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nou Estadi Municipal de Palamos (Palamos) 🌤️ ...


	Badalona Futur		Elche Ilicitano

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	1.93
	3.75	3.2	1.93
	3.7	3.37	1.92
	3.41	3.66	1.99
	3.75	3.2	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.38)	3.31 ↑ (3.01)	1.94 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badalona Futur
25.2%

Draw
27.6%

Elche Ilicitano
47.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27%

30.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

29.4%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badalona Futur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Elche Ilicitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badalona Futur than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elche Ilicitano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

Badalona Futur - Elche Ilicitano Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Badalona Futur will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Ilicitano will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ilicitano: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Badalona Futur is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ilicitano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ilicitano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ilicitano have a series of home games.

Ilicitano will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Badalona Futur won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Badalona Futur
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
12.01.25	Alzira - Badalona Futur	1:1 ✺
22.12.24	Olot - Badalona Futur	2:2 ✺
15.12.24	Badalona Futur - Sabadell	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Sant Andreu - Badalona Futur	3:0 ✺
01.12.24	Badalona Futur - Cornellà	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TTTLL
- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
11.01.25	Elche Ilicitano - Terrassa	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Elche Ilicitano - Peña Deportiva	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	CE Europa - Elche Ilicitano	2:1 ✺
08.12.24	Elche Ilicitano - Mallorca B	3:0 ✺
01.12.24	Elche Ilicitano - Atlético Baleares	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
07.09.24	Elche Ilicitano - Badalona Futur	3:1

Badalona Futur - Elche Ilicitano