Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 14

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday


	Elche Ilicitano		Atlético Baleares

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.87	2.5
	2.65	2.95	2.6
	2.81	2.93	2.62
	2.75	2.95	2.6
	2.73	2.98	2.58
	2.65	2.95	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.24)	2.94 ↓ (3.15)	2.58 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche Ilicitano
33.7%

Draw
31%

Atlético Baleares
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

28.9%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

29.1%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche Ilicitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elche Ilicitano's form might have worsened.

Atlético Baleares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elche Ilicitano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Elche Ilicitano - Atlético Baleares Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Gomez J. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Bover R. (Pen),
30', 2 - 1, Agullo Sanchez V. ⚽,
34', 2 - 2, Castell G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 2 - 3, Bover R. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Baleares could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
23.11.24	Alzira - Elche Ilicitano	1:1 ✺
20.11.24	Elche Ilicitano - Sant Andreu	1:1 ✺
16.11.24	Elche Ilicitano - Olot	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Sabadell - Elche Ilicitano	3:0 ✺
27.10.24	Cornellà - Elche Ilicitano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTWLT
- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
24.11.24	Atlético Baleares - Espanyol B	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Alzira - Atlético Baleares	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Atlético Baleares - Torrent	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Olot - Atlético Baleares	0:2 ✺
27.10.24	Atlético Baleares - Valencia B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWL

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