Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	CE Europa		Elche Ilicitano

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	3.6
	1.9	3.35	3.7
	1.89	3.36	4.05
	1.87	3.37	3.91	Watch
	1.95	3.34	3.71
	1.9	3.35	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.12)	3.35 ↑ (3.2)	3.78 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CE Europa
48.4%

Draw
27.4%

Elche Ilicitano
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

29.3%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CE Europa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CE Europa's performance.

Elche Ilicitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CE Europa than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

CE Europa - Elche Ilicitano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Cano J. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Pena H. ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, Mahicas J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 7).

Europa is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ilicitano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Europa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ilicitano have a series of home games.

Europa will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Europa
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
11.12.24	CE Europa - Sant Andreu	4:6 ✺
08.12.24	Alzira - CE Europa	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.24	CE Europa - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
30.11.24	CE Europa - Olot	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Sabadell - CE Europa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLWT
- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
08.12.24	Elche Ilicitano - Mallorca B	3:0 ✺
01.12.24	Elche Ilicitano - Atlético Baleares	2:3 ✺
23.11.24	Alzira - Elche Ilicitano	1:1 ✺
20.11.24	Elche Ilicitano - Sant Andreu	1:1 ✺
16.11.24	Elche Ilicitano - Olot	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTTW

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