Match Info

SWITZERLAND: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - ROUND 25

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Esp Stadium (Fislisbach)

Referee: Berchier L. (Sui)


	Baden		Vaduz

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.5	2	Watch
	3.1	3.75	2.05	Watch
	3.12	3.98	2.14
	3.12	3.98	2.11
	3	3.6	2
	3.07	3.72	2.07	Watch
	2.9	3.55	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.7)	3.73 ↓ (3.75)	2.07 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baden
30.4%

Draw
24.8%

Vaduz
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

24%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

23.6%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Vaduz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baden than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaduz than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Baden - Vaduz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Spycher T. (G) 43. Gloor F. 2. Pachonik T. 5. Isufi E. 4. Muff P. 22. Romano D. 6. Cirelli S. 44. Hanke M. 10. Laski R. 26. Furrer G. 27. Giampa D.	1. Buchel B. (C) 47. Fehr F. 6. Rahimi F. 5. Berisha L. 17. Krauchi A. 8. Wieser S. 80. Fosso R. 10. Emini L. 30. Golliard T. 23. Cavegn F. 74. Rastoder E.
Substitutes
15. Dzonlagic O. 28. Eraslan E. 13. Fontana J. 29. Kujovic A. 18. Mossi A. (G) 24. Pasche A. 3. Weilenmann Y. 11. Wiskemann M.	9. Chabbi S. 19. Djokic D. 24. Gasser C. 18. Grob M. (G) 7. Hadzi M. 29. Isik G. 66. Njie A. 27. Stober F. 28. Traber L.
Coaches
Winsauer M.	Schneider M.

Preview

Baden is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vaduz is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vaduz will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Baden won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Baden won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Baden
Swiss Challenge League
02.03.24	Thun - Baden	3:1 ✺
24.02.24	Baden - Stade Nyonnais	2:3 ✺
17.02.24	Baden - Schaffhausen	0:1 ✺
09.02.24	Sion - Baden	4:1 ✺
04.02.24	Baden - Bellinzona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLLW
- FC Vaduz
Swiss Challenge League
03.03.24	Vaduz - Schaffhausen	3:2 ✺
28.02.24	Bellinzona - Vaduz	0:1 ✺
16.02.24	Vaduz - Sion	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Wil 1900 - Vaduz	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Vaduz - Neuchâtel Xamax	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
05.11.23	Vaduz - Baden	1:2
13.08.23	Baden - Vaduz	2:3

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