Match Info

Challenge League - Round 22

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Comunale Bellinzona (Bellinzona)

Referee: Jaussi J. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1


	Bellinzona		Vaduz

	1	X	2
	4.35	3.95	1.62
	4.83	4	1.67
	4.69	4.14	1.64	Watch
	4.5	3.6	1.65
	4.4	3.84	1.64	Watch
	4.33	4	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (3.37)	3.92 ↑ (3.56)	1.64 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bellinzona
20.4%

Draw
23.5%

Vaduz
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

25.8%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bellinzona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bellinzona's form might have worsened.

Vaduz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vaduz's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10.5%	89.5%

Bellinzona - Vaduz Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Bellinzona (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Vaduz (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Bellinzona (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Vaduz will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vaduz will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bellinzona (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Vaduz (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Muci A. (G) 5. Rizvanovic M. 6. Trapero 4. Lopez B. 23. Goncalves M. 14. Bomo J. 91. Mihajlovic D. (C) 25. Ayala D. 20. Mayorga J. 45. Jaiteh M. 7. Rossier E.	25. Schaffran L. (G) 4. Hasler N. (C) 6. Simani D. 5. Berisha L. 7. Schwizer D. 20. Mack L. 22. Eberhard M. 8. Seiler S. 30. Dantas Fernandes R. 28. Cocic M. 17. Campos A.
Substitutes
77. Grano A. 80. Kury J. 99. Lopez A. 92. Moulin P. 8. Rey A. 79. Shala L. 3. Sorensen A. 22. Trochen E. (G)	12. Akinola A. 14. Beeli M. 16. De Donno G. 38. Follmi N. (G) 24. Gasser C. 26. Hammerich M. 18. Hasler A. 9. Monsberger M. 3. Sawadogo M.
Coaches
Sannino G.	Schneider M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Dantas Fernandes R. 🟨,
9', 0 - 1, Schwizer D. (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', Bomo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Ayala D. 🟨,
63', Hasler N. 🟨,
64', Goncalves M. 🟨,
65', Simani D. 🟨,
68', Mack L. 🟨,
68', Rossier E. ↓, Rey A. ↑,
68', Lopez B. ↓, Shala L. ↑,
69', Campos A. ↓, Monsberger M. ↑,
72', 0 - 2, Monsberger M. ⚽, Seiler S. (A),
73', Bomo J. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
74', Eberhard M. ↓, Gasser C. ↑,
77', Mayorga J. ↓, Sorensen A. ↑,
84', Schwizer D. ↓, Sawadogo M. ↑,
85', Seiler S. ↓, De Donno G. ↑,
85', Cocic M. ↓, Hammerich M. ↑,
90+4', Monsberger M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 1.

Bellinzona has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In this match, Vaduz is the team to beat.

There will not play in Bellinzona: Chouik I. (Inactive) Dermaku D. (Injury) Jashari E. (Yellow Cards) Lymann F. (Injury) Mosquera D. (Red Card) Moulin P. (Injury) Osigwe S. (Inactive) Sorensen A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Vaduz: Hammerich M. (Inactive) Oehri T. (Knee Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:34. (average 1.2:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bellinzona won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.9:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Bellinzona
Swiss Challenge League
06.02.26	Stade Nyonnais - Bellinzona	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Bellinzona - Neuchâtel Xamax	5:0 ✺
24.01.26	Aarau - Bellinzona	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Bellinzona - Wil 1900	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Bellinzona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLLL
- FC Vaduz
Swiss Challenge League
06.02.26	Vaduz - Étoile Carouge	3:3 ✺
30.01.26	Lausanne Ouchy - Vaduz	5:2 ✺
23.01.26	Vaduz - Wil 1900	3:1 ✺
19.12.25	Vaduz - Aarau	3:2 ✺
12.12.25	Rapperswil-Jona - Vaduz	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
21.11.25	Bellinzona - Vaduz	0:1
22.08.25	Vaduz - Bellinzona	6:0
12.04.25	Bellinzona - Vaduz	3:1
16.03.25	Vaduz - Bellinzona	3:1
08.12.24	Bellinzona - Vaduz	1:2
29.09.24	Vaduz - Bellinzona	2:1
20.05.24	Vaduz - Bellinzona	2:2

Upcoming Matches