Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 35

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday


	Bagnolese		Aglianese

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.85	2.3
	2.31	3.11	2.86
	2.33	2.97	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (3)	2.98 ↑ (2.93)	2.76 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bagnolese
36.2%

Draw
30.7%

Aglianese
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

30.9%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

32.1%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bagnolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bagnolese's performance.

Aglianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aglianese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bagnolese than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bagnolese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aglianese than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aglianese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bagnolese won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Bagnolese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Bagnolese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Bagnolese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GS Bagnolese
Italian Serie D - Group D
06.04.23	Ravenna - Bagnolese	0:1 ✺
01.04.23	Bagnolese - Corticella	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	Scandicci - Bagnolese	2:2 ✺
12.03.23	Bagnolese - Real Forte Querceta	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	United Riccione - Bagnolese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WTTTL
- Aglianese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
06.04.23	Aglianese - Forlì	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	SantAngelo - Aglianese	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	Aglianese - Salsomaggiore	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Aglianese - Pistoiese	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Scandicci - Aglianese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
04.12.22	Aglianese - Bagnolese	0:1
22.05.22	Aglianese - Bagnolese	0:2
02.03.22	Bagnolese - Aglianese	0:1
24.02.21	Bagnolese - Aglianese	0:1
16.12.20	Aglianese - Bagnolese	2:1

Bagnolese - Aglianese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide