The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
United Riccione 44.9%
Draw 30%
Bagnolese 25.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.4%
26.3%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.2%
24.7%
21.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
United Riccione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that United Riccione's form might have worsened.
Bagnolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for United Riccione than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for United Riccione, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bagnolese than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out)).
Recent matches United Riccione is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Bagnolese is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Bagnolese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
United Riccione will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 2 head-to-head matches United Riccione won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
Including matches at home between the teams United Riccione won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.