Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 31

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday


	Bagnolese		Real Forte Querceta

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	1.9
	3.2	3.29	2.05
	3.25	3.2	2
	3.4	3.15	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.83)	3.19 ↑ (3)	2.02 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bagnolese
26.8%

Draw
28.3%

Real Forte Querceta
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

29.9%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

29.4%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bagnolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Real Forte Querceta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Forte Querceta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bagnolese than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bagnolese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Forte Querceta than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Forte Querceta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Bagnolese has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Real Forte Querceta is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bagnolese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Bagnolese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GS Bagnolese
Italian Serie D - Group D
05.03.23	United Riccione - Bagnolese	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Bagnolese - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
19.02.23	Lentigione - Bagnolese	4:0 ✺
12.02.23	Bagnolese - Pistoiese	0:1 ✺
08.02.23	Forlì - Bagnolese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLLL
- Real Forte Querceta
Italian Serie D - Group D
05.03.23	Real Forte Querceta - Corticella	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	AC Carpi - Real Forte Querceta	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Real Forte Querceta - Ravenna	3:2 ✺
12.02.23	Crema - Real Forte Querceta	2:0 ✺
08.02.23	Cavenago Fanfulla - Real Forte Querceta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
06.11.22	Real Forte Querceta - Bagnolese	2:1
10.04.22	Real Forte Querceta - Bagnolese	1:0
28.11.21	Bagnolese - Real Forte Querceta	2:1
21.04.21	Real Forte Querceta - Bagnolese	1:2

Bagnolese - Real Forte Querceta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide