Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday


	Bahia de Feira		Athletic Club

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.6	3.1
	2.42	2.58	3.22
	2.39	2.83	3.18
	2.4	2.75	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.6)	2.69 ↓ (2.8)	3.15 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia de Feira
37.7%

Draw
33.6%

Athletic Club
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

32.3%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

34.4%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia de Feira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia de Feira than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Bahia de Feira - Athletic Club Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Bahia de Feira is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Athletic is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bahia de Feira
Brazilian Serie D
19.08.23	Nacional AM - Bahia de Feira	3:2 ✺
14.08.23	Bahia de Feira - Nacional AM	2:0 ✺
05.08.23	Bahia de Feira - Potiguar	2:0 penalties ✺
30.07.23	Potiguar - Bahia de Feira	1:0 ✺
23.07.23	Sergipe - Bahia de Feira	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLL
- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie D
19.08.23	Athletic Club - Camboriú	2:0 ✺
12.08.23	Camboriú - Athletic Club	1:0 ✺
05.08.23	Athletic Club - Brasiliense	0:0 ✺
30.07.23	Brasiliense - Athletic Club	0:2 ✺
23.07.23	Athletic Club - Nova Iguaçu	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLTWW

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