Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 16

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Bakaridjan		Derby Académie

	1	X	2
	2.08	2.78	3.7
	2.11	2.84	3.84	Watch
	2.05	2.8	3.75
	2.1	2.78	3.77	Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.08)	2.8 ↓ (2.87)	3.73 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bakaridjan
43.3%

Draw
32.4%

Derby Académie
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

32%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

31.4%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bakaridjan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Derby Académie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bakaridjan than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby Académie than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Bakaridjan - Derby Académie Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 12).

Bakaridjan is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Derby Académie's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Bakaridjan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Derby Academie	26	5	14	7	19:22	-3	29
10	Bakaridjan	26	6	9	11	20:27	-7	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bakaridjan
Malian Première Division
06.03.26	Bakaridjan - USFAS Bamako	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Mali Coura - Bakaridjan	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Stade Malien - Bakaridjan	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Bougouni - Bakaridjan	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Bakaridjan - Onze Créateurs	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWTWL
- Derby Académie
Malian Première Division
08.03.26	Derby Académie - Djoliba	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	USFAS Bamako - Derby Académie	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Derby Académie - Afrique Football Elite	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Mali Coura - Derby Académie	1:1 ✺
26.01.26	Derby Académie - Korofina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LTTTT

Bakaridjan - Derby Académie: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide