Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 11

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Stade Malien		Bakaridjan

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.25	5.7	Watch
	1.63	3.32	5.85	Watch
	1.6	3	5.75
	1.58	3.25	6.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.62)	3.21 ↓ (3.22)	5.88 ↑ (5.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Malien
56.4%

Draw
28.2%

Bakaridjan
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

28.3%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

27.1%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Malien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Bakaridjan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Malien than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bakaridjan than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Stade Malien - Bakaridjan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 12).

Stade Malien is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bakaridjan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bakaridjan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Stade Malien is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Stade Malien won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Stade Malien won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Stade Malien	26	14	8	4	28:15	13	50
10	Bakaridjan	26	6	9	11	20:27	-7	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Malien
Malian Première Division
19.02.26	USFAS Bamako - Stade Malien	0:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
14.02.26	Simba - Stade Malien	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Stade Malien - Espérance ST	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Stade Malien	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Stade Malien - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLWTW
- AS Bakaridjan
Malian Première Division
07.02.26	Bougouni - Bakaridjan	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Bakaridjan - Onze Créateurs	0:3 ✺
20.01.26	Bakaridjan - Bougouba	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Djoliba - Bakaridjan	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Bakaridjan - Afrique Football Elite	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
02.02.25	Stade Malien - Bakaridjan	1:1
21.01.24	Stade Malien - Bakaridjan	0:2
26.12.21	Stade Malien - Bakaridjan	0:1

Stade Malien - Bakaridjan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide