What is the expert prediction for Stade Malien vs Bakaridjan?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Stade Malien vs Bakaridjan. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Stade Malien vs Bakaridjan Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, February 22, 2026)

Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 11

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Stade Malien		Bakaridjan

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.25	5.7	Watch
	1.63	3.32	5.85	Watch
	1.6	3	5.75
	1.58	3.25	6.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.62)	3.21 ↓ (3.22)	5.88 ↑ (5.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Malien
56.4%

Draw
28.2%

Bakaridjan
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

28.3%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

27.1%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Malien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Bakaridjan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Malien than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bakaridjan than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 12).

Stade Malien is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bakaridjan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bakaridjan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Stade Malien is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Stade Malien won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Stade Malien won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Stade Malien	26	14	8	4	28:15	13	50
10	Bakaridjan	26	6	9	11	20:27	-7	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Malien
Malian Première Division
19.02.26	USFAS Bamako - Stade Malien	0:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
14.02.26	Simba - Stade Malien	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Stade Malien - Espérance ST	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Stade Malien	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Stade Malien - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLWTW
- AS Bakaridjan
Malian Première Division
07.02.26	Bougouni - Bakaridjan	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Bakaridjan - Onze Créateurs	0:3 ✺
20.01.26	Bakaridjan - Bougouba	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Djoliba - Bakaridjan	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Bakaridjan - Afrique Football Elite	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
02.02.25	Stade Malien - Bakaridjan	1:1
21.01.24	Stade Malien - Bakaridjan	0:2
26.12.21	Stade Malien - Bakaridjan	0:1

Stade Malien - Bakaridjan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide