Match Info
Premiere Division - Round 15Date: 6 March 2026, Friday
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Bakaridjan |
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USFAS Bamako |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.78 |
2.52 |
2.88 |
 Watch |
 |
2.74 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
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2.76 |
2.66 |
2.86 |
Watch |
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2.7 |
2.45 |
2.8 |
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2.7 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.74 ↑
(2.73) |
2.57 ↓
(2.58) |
2.83 ↑
(2.81) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Bakaridjan
33% | Draw
35.1% | USFAS Bamako
31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Bakaridjan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.USFAS Bamako has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bakaridjan than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for USFAS Bamako than the current prediction. (+0.9%)Bakaridjan - USFAS Bamako Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bakaridjan won 0.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.USFAS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bakaridjan won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.6:1).Including home matches between the teams, Bakaridjan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | USFAS Bamako | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 37:27 | 10 | 42 |
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| 10 | Bakaridjan | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20:27 | -7 | 27 |
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Last Results with these Odds
USFAS Bamako - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 32.05%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Malian Première Division | | | 28.11.25 | USFAS Bamako - Bakaridjan | 2:0 | | 25.01.25 | Bakaridjan - USFAS Bamako | 0:2 | | 27.01.24 | Bakaridjan - USFAS Bamako | 1:1 | | 04.06.23 | USFAS Bamako - Bakaridjan | 0:0 | | 17.03.22 | USFAS Bamako - Bakaridjan | 2:2 | | 29.03.21 | USFAS Bamako - Bakaridjan | 0:0 | | 17.08.16 | USFAS Bamako - Bakaridjan | 0:1 |
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