What is the expert prediction for Bakaridjan vs USFAS Bamako?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Bakaridjan vs USFAS Bamako. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Bakaridjan vs USFAS Bamako Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, March 06, 2026)

Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 15

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday


	Bakaridjan		USFAS Bamako

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.52	2.88	Watch
	2.74	2.6	2.8
	2.76	2.66	2.86	Watch
	2.7	2.45	2.8
	2.7	2.6	2.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.73)	2.57 ↓ (2.58)	2.83 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bakaridjan
33%

Draw
35.1%

USFAS Bamako
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

34.9%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

35.8%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Bakaridjan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

USFAS Bamako has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bakaridjan than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USFAS Bamako than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bakaridjan won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

USFAS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bakaridjan won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bakaridjan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	USFAS Bamako	25	11	6	8	35:26	9	39
11	Bakaridjan	25	5	9	11	16:26	-10	24

Last Results with these Odds

USFAS Bamako - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 32.05%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bakaridjan
Malian Première Division
28.02.26	Mali Coura - Bakaridjan	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Stade Malien - Bakaridjan	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Bougouni - Bakaridjan	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Bakaridjan - Onze Créateurs	0:3 ✺
20.01.26	Bakaridjan - Bougouba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WTWLT
- USFAS Bamako
Malian Première Division
02.03.26	USFAS Bamako - Derby Académie	0:0 ✺
19.02.26	USFAS Bamako - Stade Malien	0:1 ✺
06.02.26	Mali Coura - USFAS Bamako	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	USFAS Bamako - Bougouni	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	Onze Créateurs - USFAS Bamako	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
28.11.25	USFAS Bamako - Bakaridjan	2:0
25.01.25	Bakaridjan - USFAS Bamako	0:2
27.01.24	Bakaridjan - USFAS Bamako	1:1
04.06.23	USFAS Bamako - Bakaridjan	0:0
17.03.22	USFAS Bamako - Bakaridjan	2:2
29.03.21	USFAS Bamako - Bakaridjan	0:0
17.08.16	USFAS Bamako - Bakaridjan	0:1