Match Info

Date: 14 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Bala Azul		Los Garres

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Bala Azul
28.1%

Draw
32.8%

Los Garres
39.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.4%

31.4%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

22.7%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bala Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Los Garres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bala Azul than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bala Azul that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Garres than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Garres could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Bala Azul has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Los Garres is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bala Azul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Los Garres will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Los Garres to win the game is with odds 2.28.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Bala Azul
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
07.11.21	Ciudad de Murcia - Bala Azul	2:0 ✺
30.10.21	Bala Azul - Yeclano Deportivo	0:1 ✺
24.10.21	Bullense - Bala Azul	1:0 ✺
13.10.21	La Unión - Bala Azul	3:0 ✺
09.10.21	Bala Azul - Lorca Deportiva	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- UD Los Garres
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
07.11.21	Los Garres - Cartagena FC	2:1 ✺
31.10.21	Ciudad de Murcia - Los Garres	3:1 ✺
24.10.21	Los Garres - Minera	1:0 ✺
17.10.21	Yeclano Deportivo - Los Garres	2:0 ✺
13.10.21	Los Garres - El Palmar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLT

Bala Azul - Los Garres