Match Info

EGYPT: Premier League - Round 34

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday

Location: El Mahalla Stadium (El Mahalla El Kubra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	On Time Sports 1


	Baladeyet El Mahalla		Zamalek

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.6	1.66
	4.33	3.75	1.72
	4.59	3.76	1.71
	4.34	3.75	1.69
	4.33	3.7	1.67
	4.44	3.85	1.69	Watch
	4.33	3.75	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↓ (5.2)	3.74 ↓ (3.77)	1.69 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baladeyet El Mahalla
21.1%

Draw
24.6%

Zamalek
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

24.3%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

23.7%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baladeyet El Mahalla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Zamalek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baladeyet El Mahalla than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamalek than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zamalek could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Baladeyet El Mahalla - Zamalek Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hussein A. (G) 26. Zammouri N. 3. El Aash A. 11. Abdo Semana 33. Reda A. 24. Hassan H. 29. Kahraba 14. Marzouk I. 30. Sheta I. 10. Mohsen W. 7. Ashraf M.	46. El Shenawy M. (G) 27. Atef M. 6. El Zenary M. 49. Magdy A. 53. Ibrahim M. 12. Ashraf M. 42. El Sayed M. 26. Yasser M. 10. Shikabala (C) 9. Naser M. 18. Sayed A.
Substitutes
32. Ahmed M. 77. Alaa T. 17. El Sayed Zayed E. S. A. 21. Ephrem M. 35. Etman A. 88. Ghazal M. 23. Ibrahim M. (G) . Magdi H. 15. Razak M.	45. Abdelaziz O. (G) 44. Aboul-Maati H. 31. Ahmed Esho 23. Akinyoola S. 54. Hassan Y. A. 48. Osama H. 11. Shalaby M.
Coaches
Mekki M.	Gomes J. M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
59', 1 - 0, Mohsen W. ⚽,
60', Mohsen W. ↓, Magdi H. ↑,
67', Atef M. 🟨,
70', 1 - 1, Shikabala ⚽, Ashraf M. (A),
73', Shikabala ↓, Ahmed Esho ↑,
74', Yasser M. ↓, Akinyoola S. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Naser M. ⚽,
78', Ibrahim M. ↓, Osama H. ↑,
80', Reda A. ↓, El Sayed Zayed E. S. A. ↑,
80', Sheta I. ↓, Etman A. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Kahraba ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 A and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

Baladeyet El Mahalla is Relegated to Division 2 A

Baladeyet El Mahalla is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Zamalek is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Baladeyet El Mahalla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Zamalek is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Baladeyet El Mahalla won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baladeyet El Mahalla
Egyptian Premier League
13.08.24	El Gouna - Baladeyet El Mahalla	2:1 ✺
30.07.24	Baladeyet El Mahalla - Ismaily	4:2 ✺
20.07.24	Ceramica Cleopatra - Baladeyet El Mahalla	4:0 ✺
15.07.24	Zamalek - Baladeyet El Mahalla	0:0 ✺
07.07.24	Baladeyet El Mahalla - Al Masry	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LWLTL
- Zamalek
Egyptian Premier League
14.08.24	Zamalek - Tala`ea El-Gaish	1:3 ✺
08.08.24	ZED - Zamalek	0:1 ✺
05.08.24	Zamalek - ENPPI	4:2 ✺
02.08.24	Zamalek - El Gouna	1:0 ✺
29.07.24	El Mokawloon El Arab - Zamalek	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
15.07.24	Zamalek - Baladeyet El Mahalla	0:0

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