Match Info

EGYPT: Premier League - Round 33

Date: 13 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Cairo International Stadium (Cairo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	On Time Sports 1


	El Gouna		Baladeyet El Mahalla

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.2
	2.2	3.1	3.3
	2.27	3.05	3.65
	2.17	3.03	3.38	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.14	3.2	3.35	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.1)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	3.34 ↓ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Gouna
42.3%

Draw
30%

Baladeyet El Mahalla
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

30.2%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

30.3%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Gouna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Baladeyet El Mahalla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baladeyet El Mahalla than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	42.9%	21.4%

El Gouna - Baladeyet El Mahalla Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. El Gouna will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Baladeyet El Mahalla will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17% – 68.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Soliman S. (G) 2. Ahmed M. A. 18. Jatta A. 13. Abdel Rasoul Ahmed 6. Rahil S. 28. Shika S. 17. El Deghemy M. 14. El Sayed N. (C) 8. Abdelrahman R. 27. Randrianantenaina A. 19. Magdy A.	1. Hussein A. (C) 25. Kahraba 3. El Aash A. 26. Zammouri N. 33. Reda A. 18. Tula E. B. 7. Ashraf M. 30. Sheta I. 14. Marzouk I. 11. Abdo Semana 9. Ashraf H.
Substitutes
3. Aboul-Fetouh K. 42. Chukwudi G. 30. Emad M. 11. Etouga F. 1. Massoud A. (G) 15. Oksha 40. Samir H. 25. Sheta A. 90. Yasser M.	17. El Sayed Zayed E. S. A. 35. Etman A. 66. Hany M. 24. Hassan H. 23. Ibrahim M. (G) 13. Ihezuo E. 29. Magdi H. 10. Mohsen W. 15. Razak M.
Coaches
Abdelaal A.	Mekki M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Randrianantenaina A. ⚽, Magdy A. (A),
19', Magdy A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Marzouk I. ↓, Hany M. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Ashraf M. ⚽, Reda A. (A),
59', Rahil S. ↓, Chukwudi G. ↑,
64', El Sayed N. ↓, Oksha ↑,
79', Hany M. ↓, Magdi H. ↑,
79', Abdo Semana ↓, Mohsen W. ↑,
80', Ashraf H. 🟨,
80', Abdel Rasoul Ahmed 🟨,
85', Tula E. B. 🟨,
88', Magdy A. ↓, Sheta A. ↑,
90+3', Sheta I. ↓, Etman A. ↑,
90+4', Reda A. 🟨,
90+10', 2 - 1, Randrianantenaina A. ⚽, Chukwudi G. (A),

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 A).

Recent matches El Gouna is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Baladeyet El Mahalla is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Baladeyet El Mahalla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently El Gouna have a series of guest games.

El Gouna will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches El Gouna won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- El Gouna
Egyptian Cup
08.08.24	Tersana - El Gouna	0:1 penalties ✺
Egyptian Premier League
02.08.24	Zamalek - El Gouna	1:0 ✺
22.07.24	Ismaily - El Gouna	1:1 ✺
07.07.24	El Gouna - Ceramica Cleopatra	0:0 ✺
01.07.24	Al Masry - El Gouna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLTTL
- Baladeyet El Mahalla
Egyptian Premier League
30.07.24	Baladeyet El Mahalla - Ismaily	4:2 ✺
20.07.24	Ceramica Cleopatra - Baladeyet El Mahalla	4:0 ✺
15.07.24	Zamalek - Baladeyet El Mahalla	0:0 ✺
07.07.24	Baladeyet El Mahalla - Al Masry	0:1 ✺
03.07.24	Modern Sport - Baladeyet El Mahalla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Cup
31.05.24	Baladeyet El Mahalla - El Gouna	1:2 penalties
Egyptian Premier League
08.03.24	Baladeyet El Mahalla - El Gouna	1:2

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