Match Info

Super League - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium (Gianyar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	Bali United Pusam		PSIM Yogyakarta

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.15
	2.11	3.44	3.55
	2.26	2.79	3.64	Watch
	2.06	3.37	3.49
	1.75	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.65)	3.29 ↓ (3.7)	3.57 ↓ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bali United Pusam
45.5%

Draw
28.3%

PSIM Yogyakarta
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

24.5%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

26.2%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bali United Pusam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bali United Pusam's form might have worsened.

PSIM Yogyakarta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PSIM Yogyakarta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bali United Pusam than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bali United Pusam, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSIM Yogyakarta than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PSIM Yogyakarta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bali United Pusam - PSIM Yogyakarta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hauptmeijer M. (G) 33. Andhika M. 5. Adi B. 14. Receveur T. 24. Fajrin R. (C) 8. Bruijn J. 10. Mustafic M. 42. Simon M. 7. Goppel T. 9. Kopitovic B. 41. Jaya I.	19. Supriadi C. (G) 3. Yamadera Y. 4. Ramos Mingo F. 35. Adi R. (C) 88. Sudin F. 63. Rakhmatzoda R. 10. Ze Valente 15. Cahyana R. 9. Fase A. 99. Haljeta N. 11. Vidal E.
Substitutes
4. Arel K. 47. Arjuna R. 92. Barusu R. 18. Kadek Agung 44. Panji P. 91. Rahmat 19. Raven J. 16. Rizky Dwi 11. Roni Y. 95. Rustapa F. (G) 6. Wilson B. 31. Yusron D. (G)	21. Chan I. 7. Corfe D. 22. Diaz D. 23. Fatkur G. 29. Hardiawan R. 6. Iqbal M. 17. Irfan A. 91. Rafinha 65. Sapari D. 8. Sheva S. 26. Suardi H. (G) 14. Teddy R.
Coaches
Jansen J.	van Gastel J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
17', 1 - 0, Mustafic M. (Pen),
34', 1 - 1, Cahyana R. ⚽, Haljeta N. (A),
45+5', Andhika M. 🟨,
45+6', 1 - 2, Vidal E. ⚽, Ze Valente (A),
45+9', Fase A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Wijaya A. ↓, Rizky Dwi ↑,
46', Adi B. ↓, Arel K. ↑,
46', Simon M. ↓, Wilson B. ↑,
52', Bruijn J. 🟨,
56', Adi R. 🟨,
56', 🟨,
73', Fajrin R. 🟨,
77', Jaya I. ↓, Arjuna R. ↑,
77', Wilson B. ↓, Raven J. ↑,
79', 1 - 3, Fase A. ⚽, Haljeta N. (A),
87', Ramos Mingo F. 🟨,
87', Vidal E. ↓, Corfe D. ↑,
89', Mustafic M. 🟨,
90+1', Cahyana R. ↓, Hardiawan R. ↑,
90+4', Sudin F. ↓, Sheva S. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 5).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Bali United is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bali United Pusam FC
Indonesian Super League
14.09.25	Persija Jakarta - Bali United Pusam	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Bali United Pusam - Madura United	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Bali United Pusam	5:2 ✺
15.08.25	Java United - Bali United Pusam	3:3 ✺
10.08.25	Bali United Pusam - Persik Kediri	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWLTT
- PSIM Yogyakarta
Indonesian Super League
14.09.25	PSIM Yogyakarta - Borneo Samarinda	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Java United - PSIM Yogyakarta	0:2 ✺
24.08.25	PSIM Yogyakarta - Persib Bandung	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	PSIM Yogyakarta - Arema	1:1 ✺
08.08.25	Persebaya Surabaya - PSIM Yogyakarta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.5 LWTTW

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