Match Info

Super League - Round 3

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium (Surabaya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	Persebaya Surabaya		Bali United Pusam

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.1
	2.08	3.3	3.05	Watch
	2.23	3.55	3.28
	2.28	3.14	3.13	Watch
	2.22	3.4	3.09	Watch
	2.1	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.09)	3.32 ↓ (3.44)	3.09 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Persebaya Surabaya
42.7%

Draw
27.6%

Bali United Pusam
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

26.6%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persebaya Surabaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

The chances for Bali United Pusam have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Persebaya Surabaya - Bali United Pusam Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Persebaya (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Ari E. (G) 2. Catur A. 4. Dimov D. 5. Mitrevski R. 7. Rivera F. 88. Raickovic M. 68. Firmansyah T. 10. Bruno (C) 91. Tumbas D. 77. Malik R. 11. Perovic M.	1. Hauptmeijer M. (G) 33. Andhika M. 2. Ferrari J. 24. Fajrin R. (C) 14. Receveur T. 6. Wilson B. 10. Mustafic M. 92. Barusu R. 9. Kopitovic B. 41. Jaya I. 7. Goppel T.
Substitutes
81. Baihaqi M. 8. Fernando O. 22. Freitas Gali 24. Lelis L. S. 18. May R. 55. Putra S. 23. Raditya K. 52. Ramadhani A. (G) 9. Rizky D. 12. Suaib A. 15. Tata M. 26. Wicaksono D.	5. Adi B. 4. Arel K. 47. Arjuna R. 18. Kadek Agung 91. Rahmat 19. Raven J. 16. Rizky Dwi 95. Rustapa F. (G) 42. Simon M. 31. Yusron D. (G)
Coaches
Perez E.	Jansen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', Catur A. 🟨,
32', Wilson B. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Rivera F. ⚽, Bruno (A),
44', 2 - 0, Mitrevski R. ⚽, Rivera F. (A),
45+2', 2 - 1, Kopitovic B. ⚽, Jaya I. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Barusu R. ↓, Kadek Agung ↑,
53', 3 - 1, Perovic M. ⚽, Malik R. (A),
55', 3 - 2, Jaya I. ⚽, Goppel T. (A),
58', Fajrin R. 🟨,
61', 4 - 2, Bruno (Pen),
69', Ferrari J. ↓, Arel K. ↑,
69', Mustafic M. ↓, Raven J. ↑,
73', Goppel T. 🟨,
79', Tumbas D. ↓, Tata M. ↑,
79', Perovic M. ↓, Lelis L. S. ↑,
79', Malik R. ↓, Freitas Gali ↑,
80', Jaya I. ↓, Arjuna R. ↑,
80', Wilson B. ↓, Simon M. ↑,
81', Firmansyah T. 🟨,
82', 5 - 2, Freitas Gali ⚽, Bruno (A),
90', Firmansyah T. ↓, Putra S. ↑,
90+2', Rivera F. ↓, Wicaksono D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Persebaya won 0.

Bali United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Persebaya is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Persebaya won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Persebaya won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persebaya Surabaya
Indonesian Super League
16.08.25	Persita Tangerang - Persebaya Surabaya	0:1 ✺
08.08.25	Persebaya Surabaya - PSIM Yogyakarta	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Persebaya Surabaya - PSS Sleman	1:0 ✺
Indonesian Super League
23.05.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Bali United Pusam	1:3 ✺
18.05.25	Borneo Samarinda - Persebaya Surabaya	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLT
- Bali United Pusam FC
Indonesian Super League
15.08.25	Java United - Bali United Pusam	3:3 ✺
10.08.25	Bali United Pusam - Persik Kediri	1:1 ✺
23.05.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Bali United Pusam	1:3 ✺
17.05.25	Bali United Pusam - Madura United	0:2 ✺
10.05.25	Persija Jakarta - Bali United Pusam	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
23.05.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Bali United Pusam	1:3
28.12.24	Bali United Pusam - Persebaya Surabaya	2:0
24.04.24	Persebaya Surabaya - Bali United Pusam	0:2
20.10.23	Bali United Pusam - Persebaya Surabaya	3:1
18.02.23	Bali United Pusam - Persebaya Surabaya	4:0
02.09.22	Persebaya Surabaya - Bali United Pusam	0:1
Indonesian President Cup
20.06.22	Bali United Pusam - Persebaya Surabaya	1:0

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