Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 29

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Balingen		Mainz II

	1	X	2
	4.15	3.95	1.68
	3.95	4.03	1.73
	4.27	4.09	1.64
	4	3.6	1.7
	4.02	3.88	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.08 ↓ (4.93)	3.91 ↓ (4.2)	1.69 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balingen
22.4%

Draw
23.4%

Mainz II
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

21.6%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

21.4%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Balingen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Mainz II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mainz II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Balingen than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz II than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mainz II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Balingen - Mainz II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Moreno Fell F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+4', 1 - 1, Schmitz M. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Balingen won 0.

Balingen is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mainz II is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Mainz II is considered a favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Balingen won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:28. (average 1.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Balingen won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1.3:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Mainz II	10	3	0	7	10:21	-11	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSG Balingen
German Regionalliga Sudwest
11.04.26	Kickers Offenbach - Balingen	5:0 ✺
04.04.26	Balingen - Freiburg II	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Balingen - Eintracht Trier	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Bayern Alzenau - Balingen	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Balingen - Sandhausen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLTL
- Mainz II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
11.04.26	Mainz II - Bahlinger	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Eintracht Trier - Mainz II	0:5 ✺
28.03.26	Mainz II - Schott Mainz	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Homburg - Mainz II	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Mainz II - Bayern Alzenau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
11.10.25	Mainz II - Balingen	2:0
25.11.23	Balingen - Mainz II	2:3
15.08.23	Mainz II - Balingen	1:1
22.04.23	Balingen - Mainz II	1:1
15.10.22	Mainz II - Balingen	2:2
13.05.22	Mainz II - Balingen	3:2
20.11.21	Balingen - Mainz II	0:1

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