Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 25

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday


	Ballinamallard United		Limavady United

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.35	1.55
	3.88	4.13	1.7	Watch
	4	3.5	1.67
	4.52	3.88	1.61
	3.5	3.5	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (3.59)	3.87 ↑ (3.84)	1.68 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ballinamallard United
22.1%

Draw
23.5%

Limavady United
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

24%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

23.2%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ballinamallard United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Limavady United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballinamallard United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Limavady United than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Ballinamallard United - Limavady United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ballinamallard won 1.

In recent matches, Ballinamallard has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Limavady is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Limavady may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Limavady has had a series of home games.

Limavady will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ballinamallard won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ballinamallard won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ballinamallard	10	4	2	4	16:16	0	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ballinamallard United
Northern Irish Cup
13.01.26	Ballinamallard United - Institute FC	0:3 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
30.12.25	Ballinamallard United - Queens University Belfast	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Annagh United - Ballinamallard United	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Armagh City - Ballinamallard United	0:3 ✺
13.12.25	Ballinamallard United - Warrenpoint Town	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LTWWL
- Limavady United
Northern Irish Cup
10.01.26	Limavady United - Lisburn Rangers	4:1 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
31.12.25	Limavady United - Annagh United	1:3 ✺
26.12.25	Limavady United - Institute FC	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Harland & Wolff Welders - Limavady United	2:3 ✺
13.12.25	Limavady United - Armagh City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
29.11.25	Limavady United - Ballinamallard United	4:2
23.08.25	Ballinamallard United - Limavady United	1:1
30.12.24	Limavady United - Ballinamallard United	2:1
09.11.24	Ballinamallard United - Limavady United	1:2
21.09.24	Limavady United - Ballinamallard United	1:2
11.08.18	Ballinamallard United - Limavady United	3:0

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