Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 31

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Armagh City		Ballinamallard United

	1	X	2
	9.8	5.9	1.22
	9.63	5.85	1.2
	9.48	6.08	1.22	Watch
	10	5	1.22
	10.2	5.9	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.82 ↑ (7.03)	5.75 ↑ (4.9)	1.21 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Armagh City
9.2%

Draw
15.8%

Ballinamallard United
74.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.9%

18.5%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

14%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Armagh City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Ballinamallard United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ballinamallard United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Armagh City than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Armagh City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballinamallard United than the current prediction. (-23.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ballinamallard United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Armagh City - Ballinamallard United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Armagh is NIFL Championship (Relegation Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Armagh won 1.

Armagh is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ballinamallard is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Armagh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ballinamallard has had a series of away games.

In this match, Ballinamallard is the obvious favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Armagh won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Armagh won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ballinamallard	10	4	2	4	16:16	0	14
16	Armagh	10	0	5	5	8:16	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Armagh City
Northern Irish Championship
28.02.26	Institute FC - Armagh City	6:0 ✺
21.02.26	Armagh City - Newington	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Annagh United - Armagh City	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	Armagh City - Dundela	0:3 ✺
24.01.26	Limavady United - Armagh City	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Ballinamallard United
Northern Irish Championship
28.02.26	Ards - Ballinamallard United	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Warrenpoint Town - Ballinamallard United	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Ballinamallard United - Annagh United	0:0 ✺
17.02.26	Loughgall - Ballinamallard United	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Dundela - Ballinamallard United	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
20.12.25	Armagh City - Ballinamallard United	0:3
11.10.25	Ballinamallard United - Armagh City	3:1
26.04.25	Armagh City - Ballinamallard United	0:1
22.03.25	Ballinamallard United - Armagh City	2:0
02.11.24	Armagh City - Ballinamallard United	3:2
28.09.24	Ballinamallard United - Armagh City	1:3
Club Friendly
16.07.15	Armagh City - Ballinamallard United	3:0

Armagh City - Ballinamallard United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide