Match Info

NIFL Championship - Relegation Group - Round 37

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Ballinamallard United		Warrenpoint Town

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.35	2.88
	2.22	3.29	2.8
	2.24	3.5	2.81	Watch
	2.2	3.1	2.8
	2.23	3.28	2.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.24)	3.3 ↓ (3.5)	2.83 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ballinamallard United
40.6%

Draw
27.4%

Warrenpoint Town
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

26.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

24.8%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ballinamallard United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Warrenpoint Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballinamallard United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warrenpoint Town than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Ballinamallard United - Warrenpoint Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ballinamallard won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Warrenpoint Town may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ballinamallard won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:29. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ballinamallard won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Warrenpoint	10	4	2	4	18:15	3	14
9	Ballinamallard	10	4	2	4	16:16	0	14

Last Results with these Odds

Ballinamallard United - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.03%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ballinamallard United
Northern Irish Championship
11.04.26	Institute FC - Ballinamallard United	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Ballinamallard United - Ards	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Newington - Ballinamallard United	4:0 ✺
14.03.26	Ballinamallard United - Harland & Wolff Welders	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Armagh City - Ballinamallard United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLTT
- Warrenpoint Town
Northern Irish Championship
11.04.26	Dundela - Warrenpoint Town	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Institute FC - Warrenpoint Town	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Warrenpoint Town - Armagh City	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Ards - Warrenpoint Town	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Warrenpoint Town - Annagh United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
24.02.26	Warrenpoint Town - Ballinamallard United	1:0
13.12.25	Ballinamallard United - Warrenpoint Town	0:4
25.02.23	Warrenpoint Town - Ballinamallard United	2:1
08.11.22	Warrenpoint Town - Ballinamallard United	1:1
Club Friendly
20.07.19	Warrenpoint Town - Ballinamallard United	0:1
Northern Irish Cup
30.03.19	Ballinamallard United - Warrenpoint Town	1:0 penalties
Northern Irish Premiership
07.04.18	Ballinamallard United - Warrenpoint Town	2:0

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