Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 12

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Ballinamallard United		Warrenpoint Town

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.20	2.75
	2.25	3.25	2.85
	2.15	3.20	3.00
	2.24	3.38	2.9	Watch
	2.12	3.15	2.95
	2.25	3.45	3.00
	2.26	3.30	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.35)	3.28 ↓ (3.46)	2.89 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ballinamallard United
41%

Draw
27.7%

Warrenpoint Town
31.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.2%

26.6%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ballinamallard United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Warrenpoint Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Ballinamallard United - Warrenpoint Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 8th in the Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: ) and 7th in the Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ballinamallard won 0.

Warrenpoint Town shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ballinamallard has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:28 (averaging 1:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ballinamallard against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 15:10 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ballinamallard	13	6	3	4	20:18	2	21
8	Warrenpoint	12	5	3	4	21:17	4	18

Last Results with these Odds

Ballinamallard United - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.17%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ballinamallard United
Northern Irish Championship
10.10.26	Queens University Belfast - Ballinamallard United	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Ballinamallard United - Ards	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Newington - Ballinamallard United	4:0 ✺
05.09.26	Loughgall - Ballinamallard United	1:6 ✺
11.08.26	Institute FC - Ballinamallard United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.1 WTLWW
- Warrenpoint Town
Northern Irish Championship
10.10.26	Warrenpoint Town - Strabane Athletic	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Warrenpoint Town - Annagh United	1:1 ✺
25.09.26	Rathfriland Rangers - Warrenpoint Town	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	Loughgall - Warrenpoint Town	3:3 ✺
21.08.26	Newry City - Warrenpoint Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
18.04.26	Ballinamallard United - Warrenpoint Town	0:1
24.02.26	Warrenpoint Town - Ballinamallard United	1:0
13.12.25	Ballinamallard United - Warrenpoint Town	0:4
25.02.23	Warrenpoint Town - Ballinamallard United	2:1
08.11.22	Warrenpoint Town - Ballinamallard United	1:1
Club Friendly
20.07.19	Warrenpoint Town - Ballinamallard United	0:1
Northern Irish Cup
30.03.19	Ballinamallard United - Warrenpoint Town	1:0 penalties

Ballinamallard United - Warrenpoint Town