Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 12

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday


	Ballinamallard United		Loughgall

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.45	1.98
	3.36	3.37	1.96
	3.25	3.52	2.06	Watch
	3.26	3.4	2.01
	3.14	3.4	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (3.26)	3.43 ↑ (3.4)	2 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ballinamallard United
27.9%

Draw
26.6%

Loughgall
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

26.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

25.2%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ballinamallard United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Loughgall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballinamallard United than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loughgall than the current prediction. (-3%)

Ballinamallard United - Loughgall Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ballinamallard won 0.

Ballinamallard has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Loughgall's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Loughgall may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Loughgall might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ballinamallard won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.9:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ballinamallard won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ballinamallard United
Northern Irish Championship
11.10.25	Ballinamallard United - Armagh City	3:1 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
07.10.25	Ballymena United - Ballinamallard United	1:0 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
27.09.25	Ballinamallard United - Queens University Belfast	0:3 ✺
20.09.25	Ballinamallard United - Dundela	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Institute FC - Ballinamallard United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLWT
- Loughgall FC
Northern Irish Championship
11.10.25	Loughgall - Warrenpoint Town	1:1 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
07.10.25	Loughgall - Strabane Athletic	2:3 ET ✺
Northern Irish Championship
04.10.25	Limavady United - Loughgall	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Loughgall - Ards	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Armagh City - Loughgall	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
28.01.23	Ballinamallard United - Loughgall	0:2
03.12.22	Loughgall - Ballinamallard United	1:1
15.10.22	Loughgall - Ballinamallard United	3:0
19.04.22	Ballinamallard United - Loughgall	1:2
19.03.22	Loughgall - Ballinamallard United	2:0
27.11.21	Loughgall - Ballinamallard United	3:3
Club Friendly
22.07.17	Ballinamallard United - Loughgall	1:2

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