Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 27

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Lakeview Park (Loughgall)


	Loughgall		Ards

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	4
	1.68	3.85	4.25
	1.7	3.58	3.94
	1.71	3.9	4.06	Watch
	1.7	3.3	4
	1.68	3.65	4.32
	1.71	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 (1.69)	3.64 ↓ (4.01)	4.08 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loughgall
53.2%

Draw
24.8%

Ards
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

22.9%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

22.3%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loughgall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Ards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loughgall than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Ards aligns with the current prediction.

Loughgall - Ards Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Loughgall (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Loughgall (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loughgall won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Loughgall is seen as the favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Loughgall won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:15. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Loughgall won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 2.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Loughgall	10	3	4	3	14:19	-5	13
11	Ards	10	3	3	4	12:13	-1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loughgall FC
Northern Irish Cup
07.03.26	Loughgall - Cliftonville	0:3 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
03.03.26	Institute FC - Loughgall	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Loughgall - Warrenpoint Town	1:0 ✺
24.02.26	Loughgall - Newington	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Limavady United - Loughgall	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWWT
- Ards FC
Northern Irish Championship
07.03.26	Annagh United - Ards	3:2 ✺
03.03.26	Ards - Limavady United	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Ards - Ballinamallard United	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Queens University Belfast - Ards	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Ards - Harland & Wolff Welders	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
06.12.25	Ards - Loughgall	1:1
27.09.25	Loughgall - Ards	1:1
Northern Irish Cup
01.03.25	Ards - Loughgall	2:0
Northern Irish Championship
08.04.23	Loughgall - Ards	5:0
18.02.23	Ards - Loughgall	0:3
29.10.22	Loughgall - Ards	6:1
19.08.22	Ards - Loughgall	0:5

Loughgall - Ards: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide