Match Info

Irish League Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ballymena Showgrounds (Ballymena)


	Ballymena United		Ballinamallard United

	1	X	2
	1.21	5.9	11
	1.2	5.46	9.39
	1.33	4.39	10.08	Watch
	1.2	5.4	12.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.38)	5.29 ↑ (4.55)	10.74 ↑ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ballymena United
74.2%

Draw
17.3%

Ballinamallard United
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

20.2%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

19%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ballymena United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ballymena United's performance.

Ballinamallard United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballinamallard United than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ballymena United - Ballinamallard United Predictions

Users Predictions: Ballymena United will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, McNickle R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ballymena United won 5.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ballinamallard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ballymena United is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ballymena United won 16 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:19. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ballymena United won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:6. (average 2.2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ballymena United
Northern Irish Premiership
04.10.25	Carrick Rangers - Ballymena United	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Ballymena United - Dungannon Swifts	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Crusaders - Ballymena United	1:1 ✺
16.09.25	Ballymena United - Linfield	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Cliftonville - Ballymena United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WLTWL
- Ballinamallard United
Northern Irish Championship
27.09.25	Ballinamallard United - Queens University Belfast	0:3 ✺
20.09.25	Ballinamallard United - Dundela	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Institute FC - Ballinamallard United	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Ballinamallard United - Annagh United	1:1 ✺
05.09.25	Newington - Ballinamallard United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Cup
29.02.20	Ballinamallard United - Ballymena United	0:2
Club Friendly
27.07.19	Ballinamallard United - Ballymena United	1:2
Northern Irish Premiership
26.03.18	Ballymena United - Ballinamallard United	2:0
Northern Irish Cup
03.02.18	Ballymena United - Ballinamallard United	3:2 penalties
Northern Irish Premiership
02.12.17	Ballymena United - Ballinamallard United	2:1
23.09.17	Ballinamallard United - Ballymena United	1:3
25.02.17	Ballinamallard United - Ballymena United	1:2

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