Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 9

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Rathfriland Rangers		Warrenpoint Town

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.30	2.10
	2.85	3.45	2.12
	2.57	3.72	2.20
	2.74	3.73	2.2	Watch
	2.50	3.65	2.17
	2.71	3.44	2.23
	2.80	3.45	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (3.82)	3.53 ↓ (3.88)	2.16 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rathfriland Rangers
33%

Draw
25.4%

Warrenpoint Town
41.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.1%

23.7%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rathfriland Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rathfriland Rangers's performance.

Warrenpoint Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Warrenpoint Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Rathfriland Rangers - Warrenpoint Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 16th in the NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: ) and 10th in the NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: )).

Rathfriland may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Warrenpoint Town carries the favorite tag into this contest.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Warrenpoint	12	5	3	4	21:17	4	18
13	Rathfriland	12	4	0	8	12:23	-11	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rathfriland Rangers
Northern Irish Championship
12.09.26	Ards - Rathfriland Rangers	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Rathfriland Rangers - Institute FC	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	Glenavon - Rathfriland Rangers	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Newington - Rathfriland Rangers	4:0 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
04.01.25	Dungannon Swifts - Rathfriland Rangers	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Warrenpoint Town
Northern Irish Championship
28.08.26	Loughgall - Warrenpoint Town	3:3 ✺
21.08.26	Newry City - Warrenpoint Town	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
21.07.26	Cliftonville - Warrenpoint Town	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Crusaders - Warrenpoint Town	2:0 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
25.04.26	Warrenpoint Town - Ards	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWLLL

Rathfriland Rangers - Warrenpoint Town