Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 - Round 26

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Baltika Stadium (Kaliningrad)


	Baltika 2		Zvezda St. Petersburg

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	4.98
	1.54	3.66	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.57)	3.53 ↓ (4.05)	4.87 ↑ (4.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baltika 2
56.1%

Draw
25.4%

Zvezda St. Petersburg
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

22.5%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

24%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baltika 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Zvezda St. Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltika 2 than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baltika 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Baltika 2 - Zvezda St. Petersburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Tsitsilin A. (G) 75. Babchuk A. 74. Cherkasov D. 64. Gasanbekov O. 87. Isik A. (C) 72. Kim E. 57. Mamedov E. 46. Obonin K. 97. Popushoy A. 42. Pospelov V. 39. Stepanov K.	1. Zaytsev A. (C) 13. Abdullaev I. 9. Aiba L. 3. Bakhysh-Zade A. 55. Goryainov I. 4. Kolobov A. 7. Mikhaylovskiy R. 5. Smirnov I. 17. Zaytsev R. 59. Zenyuk A. 81. Zhelegotov D.
Substitutes
76. Angutaev R. 45. Bannyy Y. 43. Bokov N. 84. Dvornikov K. 94. Malyshev V. I. (G) 55. Sagalbaev A. 92. Salikhov I. 66. Turishchev D. 37. Weissbein I. (G) 86. Yashkov A.	67. Egunov A. 22. Lebedev D. 16. Malafeev M. (G) 12. Mitrokhin V. 79. Rulev D. 11. Semenov F. 98. Solovey F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Pospelov V. ⚽,
38', Zenyuk A. 🟨,
38', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
65', 2 - 0, Isik A. (Pen),
69', 🟨,
76', 2 - 1, Solovey F. ⚽,
87', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baltika 2 won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Zvezda SP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Baltika 2 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Baltika 2 won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Baltika 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baltika 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
29.09.25	Yenisey 2 - Baltika 2	1:0 ✺
15.09.25	Baltika 2 - Torpedo Vladimir	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Volga Tver - Baltika 2	2:2 ✺
24.08.25	Saturn Ramenskoye - Baltika 2	0:2 ✺
17.08.25	Baltika 2 - Luki-Energiya	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTWW
- Zvezda St. Petersburg
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
27.09.25	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Torpedo Vladimir	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Volga Tver - Zvezda St. Petersburg	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Kolomna	3:3 ✺
07.09.25	Saturn Ramenskoye - Zvezda St. Petersburg	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Luki-Energiya	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
14.06.25	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Baltika 2	2:2
04.09.24	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Baltika 2	2:2
26.05.24	Baltika 2 - Zvezda St. Petersburg	1:0
17.09.23	Baltika 2 - Zvezda St. Petersburg	0:5
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
13.11.22	Baltika 2 - Zvezda St. Petersburg	0:1
16.07.22	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Baltika 2	1:1
14.11.21	Baltika 2 - Zvezda St. Petersburg	1:2

Baltika 2 - Zvezda St. Petersburg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide