Match Info

Russian Cup - Regions Path - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday


	Zvezda St. Petersburg		Luki-Energiya

	1	X	2
	3.50	3.05	1.85
	3.55	3.15	2.00	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.49)	3.1 ↓ (3.14)	1.93 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zvezda St. Petersburg
25.2%

Draw
28.7%

Luki-Energiya
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

29%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

28.9%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zvezda St. Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Luki-Energiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zvezda St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luki-Energiya than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Zvezda St. Petersburg - Luki Energiya Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Lunev V. ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Dibirgadzhiev D. ⚽,
31', 1 - 2, Koldunov N. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zvezda SP won 2.

Zvezda SP has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Luki-Energiya is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Luki-Energiya will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Zvezda SP won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Zvezda SP won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zvezda St. Petersburg
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
02.08.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Yenisey 2	4:1 ✺
26.07.26	Chertanovo - Zvezda St. Petersburg	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Dinamo Saint Petersburg	1:1 ✺
28.06.26	Cherepovets - Zvezda St. Petersburg	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Spartak 2 Moscow	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WTTWL
- Luki-Energiya Velikiye Luki
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
02.08.26	Luki-Energiya - Chertanovo	3:2 ✺
26.07.26	Kosmos Dolgoprudny - Luki-Energiya	2:1 ✺
05.07.26	Luki-Energiya - Cherepovets	3:0 ✺
28.06.26	Spartak 2 Moscow - Luki-Energiya	0:2 ✺
21.06.26	Luki-Energiya - Volga Tver	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
24.05.26	Luki-Energiya - Zvezda St. Petersburg	3:0
30.08.25	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Luki-Energiya	1:0
11.05.25	Luki-Energiya - Zvezda St. Petersburg	1:2
15.09.24	Luki-Energiya - Zvezda St. Petersburg	3:1
01.06.24	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Luki-Energiya	2:2
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
09.11.21	Luki-Energiya - Zvezda St. Petersburg	1:3
15.06.21	Luki-Energiya - Zvezda St. Petersburg	Zvezda St. Peterburg awarded

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