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Current Win Probability
Saturn Ramenskoye 56.1%
Draw 26.1%
Zvezda St. Petersburg 17.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.9%
26.2%
18%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.7%
19.1%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saturn Ramenskoye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Zvezda St. Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saturn Ramenskoye than the current prediction. (-15.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saturn Ramenskoye that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zvezda St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zvezda St. Petersburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Saturn Ramenskoye - Zvezda St. Petersburg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Rusanov V. (G) 8. Biryukov E. 10. Dunay V. 24. Ivanteev A. 26. Kratkov D. 78. Mozuchin Y. 69. Panin Evgenievich V. 99. Posmashnyi N. 15. Sosranov R. 44. Tymonyuk I. 43. Voytsekhovskiy R.
1. Zaytsev A. (G) 13. Abdullaev I. 9. Aiba L. 67. Egunov A. 55. Goryainov I. 4. Kolobov A. 7. Mikhaylovskiy R. 8. Nyshanaliev A. 5. Smirnov I. 17. Zaytsev R. 59. Zenyuk A.
Substitutes
57. Averkiev V. (G) 9. Emelin S. 5. Loskov G. 83. Matsuev M. 32. Matveenkov V. (G) 11. Seraskhov A. 17. Sheludyakov M. 18. Sholar A. 77. Stepin M. 42. Ushakhin L. 7. Vazitdinov R.
2. Bayramov M. 10. Khalygov E. 22. Lebedev D. 16. Malafeev M. (G) 98. Solovey F. 18. Tsvetkov A. 81. Zhelegotov D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Posmashnyi N. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Egunov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 2 - 1, Kratkov D. ⚽,
59', 🟨,
60', Biryukov E. ↓, Sholar A. ↑,
62', Zaytsev R. ↓, Zhelegotov D. ↑,
69', Abdullaev I. ↓, Solovey F. ↑,
69', Egunov A. ↓, Khalygov E. ↑,
71', Dunay V. 🟨,
74', Kolobov A. 🟨,
75', Nyshanaliev A. 🟨,
77', Panin Evgenievich V. ↓, Emelin S. ↑,
81', Kratkov D. 🟨,
82', Kolobov A. ↓, Bayramov M. ↑,
82', Aiba L. ↓, Tsvetkov A. ↑,
84', Dunay V. ↓, Stepin M. ↑,
90+7', 2 - 2, Mikhaylovskiy R. (Pen),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 10).
In recent matches, Saturn has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Zvezda SP is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Zvezda SP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Zvezda SP has had a series of away games.
In this match, Saturn is the team to beat.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Saturn won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 3:0.3).
Including home match between the teams, Saturn won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.
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Rusanov V. (G) 
Tymonyuk I. 
Sholar A. 
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