Match Info

Date: 29 November 2020, Sunday


	Balzan		Senglea Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.1	5.75
	1.53	3.9	5
	1.56	4.21	5.91
	1.52	3.7	5.8
	1.53	4.1	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.47)	4 ↓ (4.3)	5.54 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balzan
60.5%

Draw
22.9%

Senglea Athletic
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

21.4%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75%

17.9%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Balzan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Senglea Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Balzan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Senglea Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation to Division 1).

Recent matches Balzan is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Senglea Athletic has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Balzan is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Balzan won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Balzan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balzan FC
Maltese Premier League
22.11.20	Balzan - Floriana	0:0 ✺
01.11.20	Sliema Wanderers - Balzan	3:1 ✺
26.10.20	Balzan - Hamrun Spartans	2:2 ✺
20.10.20	Zejtun Corinthians - Balzan	0:0 ✺
17.10.20	Balzan - Lija Athletic	1:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLTTW
- Senglea Athletic
Maltese Premier League
22.11.20	Senglea Athletic - Mosta	1:3 ✺
01.11.20	Valletta - Senglea Athletic	2:1 ✺
24.10.20	Senglea Athletic - Tarxien Rainbows	0:5 ✺
21.10.20	Floriana - Senglea Athletic	1:0 ✺
18.10.20	Senglea Athletic - Sliema Wanderers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
02.11.19	Senglea Athletic - Balzan	2:2
01.02.19	Balzan - Senglea Athletic	1:2
15.09.18	Senglea Athletic - Balzan	0:5
14.04.18	Balzan - Senglea Athletic	2:1
25.11.17	Senglea Athletic - Balzan	0:1

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