Match Info

MALTA: Premier League - Round 10

Date: 1 November 2024, Friday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Balzan		Paola Hibernians

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.2	1.88
	3.8	3.2	1.91	Watch
	3.8	3.1	1.77
	3.91	3.33	1.88	Watch
	3.8	3.2	1.85
	3.81	3.28	1.88
	3.8	3.2	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↓ (5.38)	3.22 ↓ (3.58)	1.87 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balzan
23.8%

Draw
28%

Paola Hibernians
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

25.5%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.7%

25%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Balzan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Balzan's performance.

Paola Hibernians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paola Hibernians might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Balzan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paola Hibernians could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Balzan - Paola Hibernians Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Balzan will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Hibernians will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Golovic D. (G) 27. Akpan U. 5. Arab S. (C) 10. Busuttil J. 7. Caruana T. 80. Cerezo 14. Dimeji A. 77. Kamsoba E. 8. Pulis N. 17. Stanic H. 24. Williams K.	30. Sacco H. (G) 21. Alex Bruno 4. Alfred S. 29. Bastianos G. 6. Caruana L. 10. Degabriele J. 99. Higor Gabriel 2. Kleiton 11. Kristensen B. (C) 44. Pedrao 5. Shaw K.
Substitutes
21. Buschman-Dormond C. 44. Cacciatore G. 2. Camilleri G. 1. Ciappara D. (G) 18. Engerer J. 19. Farrugia G. 22. Grech J. 6. Grima M. 11. Hili B. 12. Vella N. (G) 9. Westendorf I.	7. Attard A. 17. Chukunyere I. 22. Curmi A. 23. Ellul M. 20. Falcone F. 24. Galea K. (G) 8. Khevin Fraga 9. Miullen 13. Portelli J. 1. Sanchez P. (G) 14. Xuereb D.
Coaches
Rogers D.	Nisevic B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Shaw K. 🟨,
16', Kamsoba E. 🟨,
37', Caruana L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Pulis N. 🟨,
65', Caruana L. ↓, Khevin Fraga ↑,
65', Degabriele J. ↓, Miullen ↑,
65', Bastianos G. ↓, Chukunyere I. ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Miullen ⚽,
71', Cerezo ↓, Westendorf I. ↑,
84', Alfred S. ↓, Xuereb D. ↑,
85', 🟨,
90+2', Alex Bruno ↓, Portelli J. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Balzan won 3.

Balzan is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hibernians is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Hibernians have a series of guest games.

In this match Hibernians is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Balzan won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 23:36 (average 1.2:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Balzan won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balzan FC
Maltese Premier League
26.10.24	Floriana - Balzan	3:0 ✺
20.10.24	Melita - Balzan	2:0 ✺
03.10.24	Balzan - Gżira United	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Marsaxlokk - Balzan	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Balzan - Hamrun Spartans	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWLT
- Paola Hibernians
Maltese Premier League
25.10.24	Paola Hibernians - Melita	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Mosta - Paola Hibernians	1:0 ✺
02.10.24	Hamrun Spartans - Paola Hibernians	0:2 ✺
28.09.24	Żabbar St. Patrick - Paola Hibernians	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Floriana - Paola Hibernians	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
24.02.24	Balzan - Paola Hibernians	0:0
22.10.23	Paola Hibernians - Balzan	0:2
Club Friendly
18.08.23	Paola Hibernians - Balzan	5:0
Maltese Premier League
01.05.23	Paola Hibernians - Balzan	2:3
05.02.23	Paola Hibernians - Balzan	1:2
02.10.22	Balzan - Paola Hibernians	0:2
05.03.22	Paola Hibernians - Balzan	1:0

Balzan - Paola Hibernians: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide