Match Info

MALTA: Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 6

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Referee: Grech E. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Balzan		Floriana

	1	X	2
	5.6	3.75	1.52	Watch
	6.6	3.96	1.5
	6.32	3.87	1.49	Watch
	6	3.6	1.53
	4.9	4.33	1.55
	5.6	3.75	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.84 ↓ (7.55)	3.88 ↓ (4.55)	1.52 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balzan
15.7%

Draw
23.7%

Floriana
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.1%

20%

67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.7%

19.3%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Balzan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Floriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Floriana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floriana than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Floriana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Balzan - Floriana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Golovic D. (G) 27. Akpan U. 5. Arab S. (C) 23. Blasco V. 10. Busuttil J. 7. Caruana T. 14. Dimeji A. 42. Floro R. 21. Lukovic L. 8. Pulis N. 9. Westendorf I.	45. Mafoumbi C. (G) 79. Cedric Yameogo G. S. 4. El Hasni O. 94. Fernandinho 25. Gamarra G. 20. Garcia M. 55. Kouros A. 9. Mashike E. 27. Sasere F. 12. Vella D. (C) 21. Zammit Lonardelli C.
Substitutes
44. Bacanin M. 24. Borg W. 4. Cacciatore G. 1. Ciappara D. (G) 22. Grech J. 6. Grima M. 11. Hili B. 18. Jankovic L. 77. Kamsoba E. 2. Kerkez N. 19. May O.	14. Becerra J. 5. Cann Rodgers G. 18. Cassar N. 37. Cutajar R. (G) 1. Fillion Y. (G) 77. Garzia A. 8. Grech J. 11. Scerri Z. 10. Sotomayor G. 17. Spiteri O. 15. Vella T.
Coaches
Cohen A.	Abdilla D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Cedric Yameogo G. S. 🟨,
33', Floro R. 🟨,
34', Vella D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vella D. ↓, Grech J. ↑,
54', Gamarra G. 🟨,
58', Fernandinho ↓, Sotomayor G. ↑,
78', Kouros A. ↓, Becerra J. ↑,
78', Zammit Lonardelli C. ↓, Garzia A. ↑,
83', Becerra J. 🟨,
84', Caruana T. 🟨,
85', Blasco V. ↓, Jankovic L. ↑,
90+1', Golovic D. 🟨,
90+2', Busuttil J. ↓, Grima M. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Balzan won 1.

Recent matches Balzan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Floriana is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Balzan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Floriana is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Balzan won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19:22 (average 1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Balzan won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balzan FC
Maltese Premier League
10.02.25	Naxxar Lions - Balzan	0:3 ✺
31.01.25	Balzan - Marsaxlokk	0:3 ✺
25.01.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Balzan	3:0 ✺
17.01.25	Balzan - Mosta	3:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
11.01.25	Birkirkara - Balzan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWL
- Floriana FC
Maltese Premier League
09.02.25	Floriana - Marsaxlokk	2:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
06.02.25	Victoria Hotspurs - Floriana	1:4 ✺
Maltese Premier League
02.02.25	Floriana - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Floriana - Hamrun Spartans	0:0 ✺
18.01.25	Melita - Floriana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
26.10.24	Floriana - Balzan	3:0
18.02.24	Floriana - Balzan	2:2
01.10.23	Balzan - Floriana	0:3
05.03.23	Balzan - Floriana	3:1
23.10.22	Floriana - Balzan	0:0
06.02.22	Floriana - Balzan	2:1
16.10.21	Balzan - Floriana	1:2

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