Match Info

CZECH REPUBLIC: 1. LIGA - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 1

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich (Ostrava)

Referee: Orel P. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	iSport.cz


	Baník Ostrava		Zbrojovka Brno

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	5.5	Watch
	1.47	4.75	5.75
	1.55	4.1	5
	1.48	4.89	6.26
	1.48	4.65	6	Watch
	1.55	4.2	6.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.82)	4.56 ↑ (3.69)	5.8 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baník Ostrava
63.2%

Draw
20.6%

Zbrojovka Brno
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

25.5%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

25%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baník Ostrava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baník Ostrava's performance.

Zbrojovka Brno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zbrojovka Brno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baník Ostrava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zbrojovka Brno than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zbrojovka Brno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Baník Ostrava - Zbrojovka Brno Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Zbrojovka Brno will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Baník Ostrava won 1.

Recent matches Baník Ostrava is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zbrojovka Brno is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Baník Ostrava is a favorite.

There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Boula J. (Injury) Takacs L. (Knee Injury) Tetour D. (Convalescence)

There will not play in Zbrojovka Brno: Endl L. (Injury) Hrabina M. (Yellow Cards) Pachlopnik O. (Injury) Soucek F. (Red Card) Sural J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Baník Ostrava: Sehic E. (Injury) Sin M. (Injury)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Baník Ostrava won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Baník Ostrava won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baník Ostrava
Czech 1 Liga
30.04.23	Sigma Olomouc - Baník Ostrava	1:4 ✺
25.04.23	Baník Ostrava - Slavia Prague	0:2 ✺
22.04.23	Mladá Boleslav - Baník Ostrava	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Baník Ostrava - Viktoria Plzeň	2:1 ✺
08.04.23	Slovácko - Baník Ostrava	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WLLWW
- Zbrojovka Brno
Czech 1 Liga
30.04.23	Slovácko - Zbrojovka Brno	1:0 ✺
26.04.23	Zbrojovka Brno - Dynamo České Budějovice	1:1 ✺
23.04.23	Slovan Liberec - Zbrojovka Brno	3:1 ✺
16.04.23	Zbrojovka Brno - Pardubice	2:1 ✺
08.04.23	Zbrojovka Brno - Hradec Králové	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
18.02.23	Zbrojovka Brno - Baník Ostrava	2:1
31.08.22	Baník Ostrava - Zbrojovka Brno	1:2
01.05.21	Baník Ostrava - Zbrojovka Brno	1:1
23.12.20	Zbrojovka Brno - Baník Ostrava	0:1
Czech Tipsport Liga
25.01.20	Zbrojovka Brno - Baník Ostrava	3:2
Czech 1 Liga
26.05.18	Baník Ostrava - Zbrojovka Brno	2:0
28.07.17	Zbrojovka Brno - Baník Ostrava	1:3

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