Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 2

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich (Ostrava)

Referee: Volek S. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Baník Ostrava		Slavia Prague

	1	X	2
	5.00	3.70	1.60	Watch
	4.80	3.90	1.63
	5.40	4.00	1.54	Watch
	5.51	4.07	1.65
	5.3	4.02	1.6
	5.00	4.00	1.63
	5.22	3.87	1.66	Watch
	4.80	3.90	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.13 ↑ (4.03)	3.93 ↑ (3.62)	1.62 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baník Ostrava
18.3%

Draw
23.8%

Slavia Prague
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

25.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

25.1%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Slavia Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Slavia Prague's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slavia Prague than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Slavia Prague, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	6.2%	87.5%

Baník Ostrava - Slavia Prague Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Slavia Prague (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Slavia Prague will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Jedlicka M. (C) 44. Skyba Y. 37. Chalus M. 42. Micek J. 34. Bewene A. 83. Nogha R. 8. Traore A. 99. Sinyavskiy V. 18. Planka D. 15. Jurecka V. 12. Gning A.	35. Markovic J. (G) 3. Holes T. (C) 4. Zima D. 2. Chaloupek S. 14. Isife S. 23. Sadilek M. 30. Nowak W. 15. Suleiman M. 18. Ouanda A. 13. Chytil M. 10. Sturm D.
Substitutes
1. Budinsky V. (G) 17. Frydrych M. 7. Gilbert D. 95. Holzer D. 81. Kmet M. 21. Kohut M. 28. Kubala F. 55. Musak A. 6. Pojezny K. 19. Sancl F. 22. Skrkon V.	20. Ayaosi E. 22. Diakite T. 29. Domchak N. (G) 33. Halinsky D. 32. Kacor P. 12. Mbodji Y. 6. N'Guessan A. 43. Pitak E. 17. Provod L. 26. Schranz I. 27. Vlcek T.
Coaches
Skuhravy R.	Trpisovsky J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Nowak W. ⚽, Sadilek M. (A),
14', 0 - 2, Zima D. ⚽, Sadilek M. (A),
35', 0 - 3, Sadilek M. ⚽, Ouanda A. (A),
45+2', Nogha R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jurecka V. ↓, Gilbert D. ↑,
46', Planka D. ↓, Kubala F. ↑,
46', Chalus M. ↓, Musak A. ↑,
46', Chaloupek S. ↓, N'Guessan A. ↑,
54', Ouanda A. ↓, Provod L. ↑,
63', Chytil M. ↓, Schranz I. ↑,
63', Sturm D. ↓, Ayaosi E. ↑,
63', Sinyavskiy V. ↓, Holzer D. ↑,
76', Holes T. ↓, Vlcek T. ↑,
79', Gning A. ↓, Skrkon V. ↑,
90', Vlcek T. 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 4, Ayaosi E. ⚽, Schranz I. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Slavia Prague may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Baník Ostrava has had a series of away games.

Recently, Slavia Prague has had a series of home games.

In this match, Slavia Prague is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Slavia Prague: Chory T. (Red Card) Jurasek D. (Thigh Injury) Konecny M. (Red Card) Kubiak O. (Muscle Injury) Mbodji Y. (Off the roster) Moses D. (Suspended) Ogbu I. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Baník Ostrava: Boula J. (Injury) Grygar S. (Ankle Injury) Kohut M. (Injury) Latal D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Slavia Prague: Doudera D. (Inactive) Halinsky D. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 15:47. (average 0.8:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Baník Ostrava won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1.1:1.8).

Outrights of Czech 1 Liga for now

Slavia Prague: 64.42% Ostrava: 0.67%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Slavia Prague	10	8	2	0	26:6	20	26
12	Ostrava	10	3	1	6	7:18	-11	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baník Ostrava
Czech 1 Liga
25.07.26	Zlín - Baník Ostrava	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Trenčín - Baník Ostrava	3:2 ✺
11.07.26	Miedź Legnica - Baník Ostrava	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Wisła Płock - Baník Ostrava	2:2 ✺
08.07.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Baník Ostrava	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WLLTW
- SK Slavia Prague
Czech 1 Liga
26.07.26	Slavia Prague - Slovácko	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.26	Slavia Prague - Ružomberok	3:0 ✺
11.07.26	Slavia Prague - Slovan Bratislava	0:1 ✺
01.07.26	Slavia Prague - Vlašim	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Dynamo Kyiv - Slavia Prague	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
05.04.26	Baník Ostrava - Slavia Prague	0:2
01.11.25	Slavia Prague - Baník Ostrava	2:0
24.05.25	Slavia Prague - Baník Ostrava	3:0
16.02.25	Slavia Prague - Baník Ostrava	1:0
05.12.24	Baník Ostrava - Slavia Prague	0:1
04.05.24	Slavia Prague - Baník Ostrava	5:0
17.12.23	Baník Ostrava - Slavia Prague	2:3

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