Match Info

ChNL - Round 27

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich (Ostrava)

Referee: Mach A. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CT sport, Oneplay


	Baník Ostrava B		Zbrojovka Brno

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.3	1.95
	3.25	3.25	1.98
	3.25	3.3	1.98
	3.66	3.37	2.04
	3.64	3.26	2.05	Watch
	3.5	3	2
	3.52	3.22	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↓ (3.65)	3.24 ↓ (3.43)	2 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baník Ostrava B
26.4%

Draw
28%

Zbrojovka Brno
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

26.5%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

28.1%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baník Ostrava B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Zbrojovka Brno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baník Ostrava B than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zbrojovka Brno than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zbrojovka Brno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	15%	85%

Baník Ostrava B - Zbrojovka Brno Predictions

Users Predictions: Zbrojovka Brno will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zbrojovka Brno will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
60. Hruby M. (G) 44. Drozd S. 7. Dvoracek L. 8. Frydl T. 9. Holan D. (C) 24. Jaron P. 42. Micek J. 5. Nogha R. 25. Rehacek D. 21. Sirotek T. 10. Skrkon V.	1. Hrdina A. (G) 8. Cavos P. 68. Janetzky J. 3. Kaka 19. Kanakimana B. 39. Klima J. (C) 5. Markovic A. 10. Selnar J. 26. Vedral F. 9. Velich O. 29. Zitny P.
Substitutes
46. Bitta M. 13. Laine L. 4. Mekota P. 26. Okebugwu J. 11. Sehic E. 16. Simersky D. 33. Vavrik R. (G) 38. Vlna S.	27. Blecha F. 74. Cicilia R. 31. Gjorgievski M. 33. Hlozanek M. (G) 66. Hofmann S. 32. Juroska J. 16. Kronus A. 22. Mares P. 13. Texl J. 14. Vachousek T.
Coaches
Pistek R.	Svedik M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Holan D. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Cavos P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Velich O. 🟨,
67', Sirotek T. 🟨,
67', Zitny P. ↓, Vachousek T. ↑,
67', Selnar J. ↓, Juroska J. ↑,
67', Kanakimana B. ↓, Gjorgievski M. ↑,
68', Jaron P. ↓, Okebugwu J. ↑,
68', Holan D. ↓, Vlna S. ↑,
76', Cavos P. ↓, Texl J. ↑,
79', Sirotek T. ↓, Sehic E. ↑,
79', Dvoracek L. ↓, Laine L. ↑,
79', Drozd S. ↓, Bitta M. ↑,
85', Kaka 🟨,
87', Markovic A. ↓, Mares P. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Skrkon V. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga).

Zbrojovka Brno is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Chance Liga

Baník Ostrava B is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zbrojovka Brno is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Zbrojovka Brno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zbrojovka Brno might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Baník Ostrava B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Ostrava B	9	3	2	4	15:12	3	11

Last Results with these Odds

Baník Ostrava B - the odds 3.65 are the expected chance of winning is 24.92%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baník Ostrava B
Czech Division 2
03.05.26	Slavia Prague B - Baník Ostrava B	0:3 ✺
26.04.26	Baník Ostrava B - Vysočina Jihlava	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Viktoria Žižkov - Baník Ostrava B	2:2 ✺
15.04.26	Baník Ostrava B - Opava	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Prostějov - Baník Ostrava B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWTWW
- Zbrojovka Brno
Czech Division 2
02.05.26	Zbrojovka Brno - Ústí nad Labem	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Slavia Prague B - Zbrojovka Brno	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Vysočina Jihlava - Zbrojovka Brno	1:2 ✺
15.04.26	Zbrojovka Brno - Viktoria Žižkov	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Opava - Zbrojovka Brno	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech Division 2
18.10.25	Zbrojovka Brno - Baník Ostrava B	4:1
17.05.25	Zbrojovka Brno - Baník Ostrava B	1:0
03.11.24	Baník Ostrava B - Zbrojovka Brno	1:2

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