Match Info

1. Lig - Round 16

Date: 8 December 2025, Monday

Location: Bandirma 17 Eylül Stadyumu (Bandırma)

Referee: Ergun O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Bandırmaspor		Bodrumspor

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.05	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.1
	3.47	3.34	2.16
	3.37	3.37	2.1	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.15
	3.53	3.16	2	Watch
	3.33	3.2	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↓ (3.5)	3.21 ↓ (3.41)	2.09 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bandırmaspor
27.4%

Draw
28.7%

Bodrumspor
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

27.2%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

25.8%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bandırmaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Bodrumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	25%	33.3%

Bandırmaspor - Bodrumspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Bandırmaspor will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Bodrumspor will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bandırmaspor: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bandırmaspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ozcimen A. (G) 7. Bacuna L. 33. Nukan A. 6. Ciftci H. 77. Berisbek R. 92. Mulumba R. 30. Acar E. 53. Albayrak M. 17. Ndongala D. 99. Douglas Tanque 10. Gumuskaya M.	1. Nogueira Sousa D. F. (C) 27. Yilmaz M. 15. Ajeti Ar. 35. Apaydin F. 77. Sen C. 20. Sertkaya Y. 21. Aslan A. 26. Mohammed M. 16. Fredy 7. Dimitrov Z. 99. Seferi T.
Substitutes
16. Alkan A. (G) 34. Aydin E. 23. Burgaz G. 8. Cinemre E. 88. Esendemir Y. 9. Kehinde T. 94. Samake W. 11. Topalli J. 18. Turkmen C. 35. Zorluer Y. (G)	41. Bayrakdar G. 70. Bilsel E. 10. Brazao P. 8. Erdilman M. 90. Habesoglu A. 11. Imeri O. 91. Ogruce E. 68. Tarim I. 32. Tosun B. (G) 25. Turk A.
Coaches
Gursel M.	Eser B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Douglas Tanque ⚽, Ndongala D. (A),
36', Sen C. ↓, Bayrakdar G. ↑,
45+4', Gumuskaya M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dimitrov Z. ↓, Brazao P. ↑,
52', Mulumba R. 🟨,
62', 2 - 0, Bacuna L. ⚽,
67', Aslan A. ↓, Habesoglu A. ↑,
67', Yilmaz M. ↓, Imeri O. ↑,
73', Gumuskaya M. ↓, Esendemir Y. ↑,
76', Sertkaya Y. 🟨,
79', Sertkaya Y. ↓, Bilsel E. ↑,
82', Ndongala D. ↓, Kehinde T. ↑,
89', Acar E. ↓, Turkmen C. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bandırmaspor won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Bodrumspor is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Bandırmaspor: Celibkay T. (Inactive) Douglas Tanque (Yellow Cards) Kalender T. (Suspended)

There will not play in Bodrumspor: Aytemur A. (Suspended) Cetin A. (Inactive) Demir B. (Inactive) Obekpa G. (Inactive) Yavuzay B. (Suspended)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bandırmaspor won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bandırmaspor won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bandırmaspor
Turkish Cup
04.12.25	Fethiyespor - Bandırmaspor	4:1 ✺
Turkish First League
30.11.25	Sarıyer - Bandırmaspor	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Bandırmaspor - Çorum	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Bandırmaspor - Boluspor	1:0 ✺
03.11.25	Igdirspor - Bandırmaspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLWWT
- Bodrumspor
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	Muğlaspor - Bodrumspor	1:2 ✺
Turkish First League
30.11.25	Bodrumspor - Çorum	4:0 ✺
23.11.25	Umraniyespor - Bodrumspor	1:0 ✺
07.11.25	Bodrumspor - İstanbulspor	5:0 ✺
02.11.25	Boluspor - Bodrumspor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
09.03.24	Bandırmaspor - Bodrumspor	0:0
22.10.23	Bodrumspor - Bandırmaspor	2:1
29.03.23	Bandırmaspor - Bodrumspor	0:4
23.10.22	Bodrumspor - Bandırmaspor	1:1
Turkish Second League Red Group
15.03.20	Bodrumspor - Bandırmaspor	0:1
03.11.19	Bandırmaspor - Bodrumspor	0:0

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