Match Info

1. Lig - Round 14

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Ümraniye Hekimbaşı Şehir Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Hasova G. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Umraniyespor		Bodrumspor

	1	X	2
	8	4.2	1.33	Watch
	7.57	4.8	1.33
	6.92	4.41	1.41
	6.87	4.55	1.41	Watch
	9.06	4.52	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.68 ↑ (6.92)	4.5 ↑ (4.28)	1.37 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umraniyespor
12%

Draw
20.5%

Bodrumspor
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

21.4%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

20.9%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Bodrumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	30%	60%

Umraniyespor - Bodrumspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Umraniyespor will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Bodrumspor will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bodrumspor: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bodrumspor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Topaloglu C. (G) 12. Kosoko T. 53. Oksuz B. 44. Glumac T. (C) 59. Yilmaz Y. 8. Goksu S. 88. Djokanovic A. 17. Hoti E. 20. Babacan A. 9. Celik B. 11. Ekincier B.	1. Nogueira Sousa D. F. (G) 27. Yilmaz M. 15. Ajeti Ar. 35. Apaydin F. 11. Imeri O. 26. Mohammed M. 10. Brazao P. 20. Sertkaya Y. 16. Fredy (C) 99. Seferi T. 90. Habesoglu A.
Substitutes
1. Adiyaman U. (G) 5. Aktas K. 34. Anac E. (G) 10. Bardhi J. 81. Bulbul A. T. 93. Kanpalta O. 14. Kocaturk Y. 92. Ozdemir T. 30. Sas Y. D. . Ugur O.	21. Aslan A. 41. Bayrakdar G. 70. Bilsel E. 7. Dimitrov Z. 8. Erdilman M. 91. Ogruce E. 31. Okita J. 68. Tarim I. 32. Tosun B. (G) 25. Turk A.
Coaches
Acikgoz L.	Yilmaz S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Mohammed M. 🟨,
11', Mohammed M. 🟨,
23', Yilmaz Y. 🟨,
25', Yilmaz Y. 🟨,
32', Habesoglu A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Habesoglu A. ↓, Dimitrov Z. ↑,
59', Sertkaya Y. ↓, Aslan A. ↑,
66', Babacan A. ↓, Ozdemir T. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Ozdemir T. ⚽,
74', Brazao P. ↓, Bayrakdar G. ↑,
77', Kosoko T. ↓, Bardhi J. ↑,
79', Imeri O. 🟨,
86', Imeri O. ↓, Okita J. ↑,
89', Celik B. ↓, Kanpalta O. ↑,
89', Ekincier B. ↓, Sas Y. D. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).

Umraniyespor is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bodrumspor is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bodrumspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bodrumspor is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Umraniyespor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Umraniyespor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umraniyespor
Turkish First League
09.11.25	Pendikspor - Umraniyespor	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Umraniyespor - Sivasspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
28.10.25	Kahramanmaraşspor - Umraniyespor	4:0 ✺
Turkish First League
24.10.25	Erzurumspor - Umraniyespor	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Umraniyespor - Sarıyer	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLLL
- Bodrumspor
Turkish First League
07.11.25	Bodrumspor - İstanbulspor	5:0 ✺
02.11.25	Boluspor - Bodrumspor	3:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
30.10.25	Zonguldak Kömürspor - Bodrumspor	0:5 ✺
Turkish First League
26.10.25	Bodrumspor - Igdirspor	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Erokspor - Bodrumspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
03.02.24	Umraniyespor - Bodrumspor	1:2
03.09.23	Bodrumspor - Umraniyespor	4:0

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