Match Info

1. Lig - Round 8

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Bandirma 17 Eylül Stadyumu (Bandırma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Digiturk, TRT Spor


	Bandırmaspor		Umraniyespor

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.75	3.40	3.90
	1.76	3.49	4.19	Watch
	1.8	3.8	4.43
	1.74	3.77	4.37	Watch
	1.74	3.7	4.3
	1.69	3.5	4.4
	1.76	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.8)	3.6 ↑ (3.49)	4.26 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bandırmaspor
52.8%

Draw
25.6%

Umraniyespor
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

26.6%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bandırmaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor Predictions

Users Predictions: Bandırmaspor will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Alkan A. (G) 22. Ulgen A. 86. Bekaroglu B. 14. Kocaturk Y. 6. Lima L. 8. Lico D. 11. Kehinde T. 92. Mulumba R. (C) 10. Gumuskaya M. 29. Badji A. 23. Donertas K.	35. Topaloglu C. (G) 70. Yildirim O. 58. Kartal M. 44. Glumac T. (C) 88. Gedik E. 8. Goksu S. 10. Djokanovic A. 17. Yilmaz B. 77. Tasci T. 9. Bostan M. 11. Blanco A.
Substitutes
34. Aydin E. 17. Ayhan E. 99. Beklevic F. (G) 3. Biler A. 77. Bilgic H. 9. Bruno G. 20. Cinemre E. 90. Dilek R. 7. Genc H. 27. Seck D.	20. Babacan A. 26. Cakir B. 4. Eser M. 7. Hostikka S. 55. Koita F. 13. Koklu O. A. (G) 12. Kosoko T. 6. Otugo D. 19. Ozdemir T. 30. Sas Y. D. 16. Sen K. 27. Soukou C. 66. Yasar A. 59. Yilmaz Y.
Coaches
Arslan E.	Acikgoz L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Glumac T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tasci T. ↓, Hostikka S. ↑,
46', Badji A. ↓, Ayhan E. ↑,
71', Bostan M. ↓, Soukou C. ↑,
71', Yilmaz B. ↓, Babacan A. ↑,
72', Mulumba R. ↓, Dilek R. ↑,
83', Yildirim O. ↓, Kosoko T. ↑,
83', Gumuskaya M. ↓, Cinemre E. ↑,
83', Kehinde T. ↓, Genc H. ↑,
88', 0 - 1, Soukou C. ⚽, Topaloglu C. (A),
90+1', Blanco A. ↓, Koita F. ↑,
90+1', Lima L. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 8th and 18th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bandırmaspor won 4.

In recent outings, Bandırmaspor has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Umraniyespor has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Bandırmaspor for this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Bandırmaspor has recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:9 (averaging 1.5:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bandırmaspor against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 11:2 goals (averaging 2.2:0.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Bandirmaspor	8	2	4	2	12:5	7	10
16	Umraniyespor	8	1	3	4	6:9	-3	6

Last Results with these Odds

Umraniyespor - the odds 4.24 are the expected chance of winning is 21.88%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bandırmaspor
Turkish First League
11.09.26	Sarıyer - Bandırmaspor	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Bandırmaspor - Boluspor	6:0 ✺
01.09.26	Bandırmaspor - Antalyaspor	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Pendikspor - Bandırmaspor	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Bandırmaspor - Keçiörengücü	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLTT
- Umraniyespor
Turkish First League
12.09.26	Umraniyespor - Antalyaspor	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Pendikspor - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
01.09.26	Umraniyespor - Muğlaspor	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Keçiörengücü - Umraniyespor	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Umraniyespor - Erokspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
01.03.26	Umraniyespor - Bandırmaspor	1:2
04.10.25	Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor	2:1
02.03.25	Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor	2:0
05.10.24	Umraniyespor - Bandırmaspor	1:1
24.02.24	Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor	4:1
29.09.23	Umraniyespor - Bandırmaspor	0:1
06.02.22	Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor	2:0

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