Match Info

1. Lig - Round 4

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Aktepe Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Copur M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Connect
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Keçiörengücü		Umraniyespor

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.90	4.50	Watch
	1.57	3.80	4.75
	1.54	3.75	5.00
	1.64	4.10	5.32
	1.55	4.16	5.4	Watch
	1.61	3.85	5.25
	1.64	4.07	4.69
	1.56	3.90	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.64)	3.94 ↑ (3.77)	4.99 ↑ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keçiörengücü
58.1%

Draw
23.4%

Umraniyespor
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

24.6%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keçiörengücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Keçiörengücü - Umraniyespor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Keçiörengücü (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Keçiörengücü will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Satilmis E. (G) 2. Bahadir Y. 5. Caliskan O. 3. Wellington Nascimento 4. Celik A. 14. Akdag I. (C) 8. Karaogul I. 21. Ezeh F. 22. Ayan H. 77. Fofana M. 55. Diouf M.	35. Topaloglu C. (G) 70. Yildirim O. 58. Kartal M. 44. Glumac T. (C) 88. Gedik E. 8. Goksu S. 10. Djokanovic A. 17. Yilmaz B. 11. Blanco A. 9. Bostan M. 7. Hostikka S.
Substitutes
16. Ayaydin O. 6. Develi E. 20. Edumondo A. 1. Erdogan M. (G) 10. Jefferson 12. Keskin B. 33. Lus S. 45. Nabian H. 7. Roshi O. 19. Yilmaz E.	31. Aksoy D. 28. Aydogan O. 20. Babacan A. 13. Koklu O. A. (G) 19. Ozdemir T. 30. Sas Y. D. 77. Tasci T. 66. Yasar A. 59. Yilmaz Y.
Coaches
Korkmaz O.	Albayrak T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Caliskan O. (Own goal),
11', 0 - 2, Blanco A. ⚽, Goksu S. (A),
27', Akdag I. 🟨,
34', 1 - 2, Caliskan O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bahadir Y. ↓, Keskin B. ↑,
46', Karaogul I. ↓, Jefferson ↑,
52', Goksu S. 🟨,
54', Goksu S. ↓, Babacan A. ↑,
59', Fofana M. ↓, Yilmaz E. ↑,
59', Ayan H. ↓, Edumondo A. ↑,
65', Yildirim O. 🟨,
67', Yildirim O. ↓, Yasar A. ↑,
67', Blanco A. ↓, Tasci T. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Diouf M. ⚽,
82', Keskin B. 🟨,
86', Hostikka S. ↓, Ozdemir T. ↑,
86', Bostan M. ↓, Aksoy D. ↑,
88', Ezeh F. ↓, Roshi O. ↑,
90+2', Babacan A. 🟨,
90+2', Satilmis E. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 4.

In this match, Keçiörengücü is the team to beat.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Keçiörengücü won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Keciorengucu	8	3	4	1	17:10	7	13
16	Umraniyespor	8	1	3	4	6:9	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League
23.08.26	Bandırmaspor - Keçiörengücü	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Keçiörengücü - Pendikspor	4:1 ✺
07.05.26	Çorum - Keçiörengücü	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Umraniyespor - Keçiörengücü	1:4 ✺
26.04.26	Keçiörengücü - Manisa FK	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWLWW
- Umraniyespor
Turkish First League
22.08.26	Umraniyespor - Erokspor	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Umraniyespor	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Umraniyespor - Keçiörengücü	1:4 ✺
25.04.26	Adana Demirspor - Umraniyespor	1:3 ✺
19.04.26	Umraniyespor - Vanspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
02.05.26	Umraniyespor - Keçiörengücü	1:4
28.12.25	Keçiörengücü - Umraniyespor	3:1
20.04.25	Keçiörengücü - Umraniyespor	0:1
15.12.24	Umraniyespor - Keçiörengücü	1:2
28.04.24	Keçiörengücü - Umraniyespor	4:2
09.12.23	Umraniyespor - Keçiörengücü	2:0
19.04.22	Umraniyespor - Keçiörengücü	2:1

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