Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Florencio Sola (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Trucco S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Banfield		Independiente

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.6	Watch
	2.95	2.8	2.65
	3.05	2.78	2.68	Watch
	3.1	2.92	2.75
	3.02	2.92	2.65	Watch
	3.18	3.06	2.56	Watch
	3.05	2.78	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.5)	2.89 ↓ (3.04)	2.65 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Banfield
31.2%

Draw
32.9%

Independiente
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

30.9%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

33.2%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Banfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Banfield's form might have worsened.

Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banfield than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Banfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	17.6%	76.5%

Banfield - Independiente Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Banfield will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Independiente will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanguinetti F. (C) 4. Di Luciano R. 2. Maldonado A. 6. Pombo J. 3. De Ritis M. 5. Rio M. 8. Rios L. 7. Rivera G. 17. Bisanz J. 19. Rios G. 9. Sepulveda B.	33. Rey R. (C) 4. Vera F. 26. Lomonaco K. 36. Valdez S. 77. Angulo A. 5. Loyola F. 23. Marcone I. 11. Mancuello F. 16. Hidalgo S. 34. Gimenez M. 27. Tarzia D.
Substitutes
33. Abraham I. 20. Adoryan T. 11. Alaniz A. 28. Arturia M. 35. Esquivel S. 29. Iribarren J. 24. Lopez S. 26. Miranda L. 31. Pinero L. 40. Riveros P. 25. Romero D. (G) 27. Vega G.	9. Avalos G. 1. Blazquez J. (G) 10. Cabral L. 39. de Irastorza J. 8. Galdames P. 18. Maestro I. 29. Martinez B. 21. Martinez D. 32. Paredes F. 20. Rodrigo Fernandez 19. Roman P. 35. Salle S.
Coaches
Broggi A.	Vaccari J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Bisanz J. 🟨,
31', Angulo A. 🟨,
41', Valdez S. 🟨,
45+1', Rios L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Mancuello F. 🟨,
56', Gimenez M. ↓, Avalos G. ↑,
56', Mancuello F. ↓, Maestro I. ↑,
61', De Ritis M. 🟨,
62', Pombo J. ↓, Riveros P. ↑,
69', Bisanz J. ↓, Arturia M. ↑,
69', Maestro I. ↓, Cabral L. ↑,
77', Marcone I. 🟨,
78', Maldonado A. 🟨,
81', Tarzia D. 🟨,
84', Rivera G. ↓, Alaniz A. ↑,
89', Riveros P. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Banfield won 0.

Banfield has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Independiente is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Banfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Independiente will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Banfield won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14:16 (average 0.9:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Banfield won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Banfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.02.25	Tigre - Banfield	1:0 ✺
14.02.25	Banfield - Boca Juniors	0:1 ✺
11.02.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Banfield	1:0 ✺
07.02.25	Banfield - Belgrano	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Barracas Central - Banfield	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- CA Independiente
Copa Argentina
26.02.25	Independiente - Sportivo Belgrano	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.02.25	Independiente - Instituto Córdoba	2:0 ✺
17.02.25	Platense - Independiente	1:1 ✺
12.02.25	Independiente - Vélez Sársfield	3:0 ✺
08.02.25	River Plate - Independiente	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.06.24	Independiente - Banfield	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
05.04.24	Banfield - Independiente	0:1
12.11.23	Independiente - Banfield	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.02.23	Banfield - Independiente	0:0
16.10.22	Independiente - Banfield	1:0
30.11.21	Banfield - Independiente	4:1
06.12.19	Independiente - Banfield	0:1

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