Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Platense		Independiente

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.7	2.7	Watch
	2.95	2.75	2.65
	3	2.65	2.82	Watch
	3.17	2.72	2.88
	2.86	2.61	3.01	Watch
	3	2.5	2.7
	3.12	2.64	2.72	Watch
	3.1	2.62	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↓ (3.53)	2.65 ↓ (2.75)	2.79 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Platense
30.9%

Draw
35.4%

Independiente
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

33.7%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Platense - Independiente Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Independiente (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Independiente (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Borgogno M. (G) 25. Saborido J. 13. Vazquez I. (C) 6. Raggio E. 3. Silva T. 15. Amarfil M. 17. Bussio F. 7. Mainero G. 10. Zapiola F. 33. Gauto J. 23. Heredia L.	33. Rey R. (C) 29. Godoy L. 13. Fedorco J. 26. Lomonaco K. 22. Zabala F. 23. Marcone I. 8. Millan L. 7. Montiel S. 40. Malcorra I. 19. Abaldo M. 9. Avalos G.
Substitutes
24. Barrios M. 47. Bosch B. 27. Dalmasso S. 38. Ingenthron C. 4. Lagos A. 16. Luna Diale M. 34. Mendia M. 18. Merlini B. 9. Nasif T. 22. Sumavil N. (G) 28. Tucker M. 31. Victor Cuesta	4. Arias S. 1. Blazquez J. (G) 10. Cabral L. 6. Freire N. 11. Mancuello F. 17. Mazzantti W. 24. Palais J. 16. Perez Curci M. 25. Pussetto I. 5. Rodrigo Fernandez 36. Valdez S. 3. Valenzuela M.
Coaches
Zunino W.	Quinteros G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Heredia L. ↓, Nasif T. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Montiel S. ⚽, Avalos G. (A),
69', Abaldo M. ↓, Pussetto I. ↑,
70', Zapiola F. ↓, Merlini B. ↑,
70', Bussio F. ↓, Dalmasso S. ↑,
70', Malcorra I. 🟨,
77', Zabala F. 🟨,
80', Godoy L. ↓, Arias S. ↑,
80', Malcorra I. ↓, Cabral L. ↑,
80', Amarfil M. ↓, Bosch B. ↑,
80', Mainero G. ↓, Tucker M. ↑,
88', Lomonaco K. ↓, Valdez S. ↑,
88', Montiel S. ↓, Mazzantti W. ↑,
90+5', Millan L. 🟨,
90+6', Rey R. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Independiente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Platense: Bay J. (Knee Injury) Bobadilla H. (Muscle Injury) Gomez I. (Muscle Injury) Goni G. (Muscle Injury) Minerva F. (Muscle Injury) Ocampo A. (Inactive) Portillo M. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Platense won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Platense won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Platense
Copa Argentina
04.02.26	Platense - Argentino Monte Maíz	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.01.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Platense	1:2 ✺
26.01.26	Platense - Instituto Córdoba	2:1 ✺
22.01.26	Unión Santa Fe - Platense	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Trofeo de Campeones
20.12.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Platense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWWTL
- CA Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.01.26	Independiente - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Newells Old Boys - Independiente	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
16.01.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Independiente	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Independiente - Everton de Viña	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.10.25	Independiente - Platense	3:0
17.02.25	Platense - Independiente	1:1
19.05.24	Platense - Independiente	0:0
05.02.23	Independiente - Platense	1:2
04.07.22	Independiente - Platense	1:3
31.07.21	Platense - Independiente	1:1

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